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BMO holds FedEx shares at Market Perform, cites updated forecast

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09/17/2024, 08:36 AM
FDX
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On Tuesday, BMO Capital maintained its Market Perform rating on FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) shares, with a steady price target of $325.00. The firm's update to its model for FedEx comes in light of recent changes to the company's segmented reporting and a softer macroeconomic environment. BMO Capital's updated forecast anticipates revenue growth in the low to mid-single digits and earnings per share (EPS) between $20 and $22 for the fiscal year 2025.


The analyst at BMO Capital suggests that the current macroeconomic conditions might align more closely with the lower end of FedEx's guidance range. The upcoming quarterly conference call for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 is expected to provide further insights into the company's progress with its DRIVE initiative and the potential spin-off of FedEx Freight.


FedEx's DRIVE program is an integral part of the company's strategic management plans, aiming to increase operational efficiency, improve profitability, and enhance shareholder value. The analyst highlighted that the implementation of this program and the exploration of a spin-off for FedEx Freight are significant factors for investors to consider.


The company's guidance for fiscal year 2025, indicating a cautious outlook with modest growth expectations, reflects the challenges posed by the current economic climate. FedEx, a global courier delivery services company, is navigating these conditions while continuing to implement strategic initiatives to strengthen its market position.


Investors and market watchers are looking forward to the details that will emerge from the Q1/F25 conference call, which will likely address the company's performance, the impact of macroeconomic factors, and updates on strategic initiatives such as the DRIVE program and the potential FedEx Freight spin-off.


In other recent news, FedEx Corporation has been the subject of several significant developments. Baird, an independent financial services firm, has maintained its Outperform rating on FedEx, despite acknowledging adjustments to the company's first and second-quarter estimates due to various challenges.


The firm remains positive about FedEx's fiscal year 2025 guidance and its DRIVE savings initiative. The company's strategic review of its less-than-truckload business is also expected to unlock additional value.


FedEx has also announced potential service disruptions in parts of Louisiana due to the anticipated impact of Storm Francine. Meanwhile, FedEx has resumed its international priority inbound and outbound services in Ukraine and reinstated its international delivery services in and out of Israel.


TD Cowen has resumed coverage on United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), maintaining a Hold rating while highlighting the ongoing adjustments both UPS and FedEx are making post-COVID. The firm's commentary suggests a phase of normalization for carriers like UPS, with a cautious optimism surrounding the upcoming peak season.


FedEx, along with UPS, is planning significant job cuts as part of a broader trend of cost-cutting and restructuring across various industries. Lastly, FedEx is currently facing significant network disruptions due to a global IT outage caused by a third-party software vendor, which could lead to delivery delays. These are recent developments that investors should keep in mind.


InvestingPro Insights


As BMO Capital maintains its Market Perform rating on FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX), investors may benefit from additional insights provided by InvestingPro. FedEx has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, having raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 23 consecutive years.


This consistent return to shareholders is a positive signal amidst the current economic landscape. Moreover, the company's strong return over the last three months, with a 15.72% increase, underscores its resilience in the face of macroeconomic challenges.


From a valuation standpoint, FedEx's P/E Ratio stands at 16.78, which may be considered high relative to near-term earnings growth. This suggests that investors are paying a premium for the stock based on current earnings. The company's market capitalization is substantial at $71.68 billion, reflecting its prominence as a key player in the Air Freight & Logistics industry.


However, analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential headwinds or a conservative outlook on the company's financial performance.


For those looking to delve deeper into FedEx's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics. To explore these further, investors can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/FDX for a comprehensive analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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