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BioNTech stock target cut to $122 from $132 by TD Cowen

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 11/05/2024, 03:06 PM
BNTX
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On Tuesday, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) shares but lowered the price target to $122 from the previous $132. The adjustment follows the company's latest earnings report, which revealed that BioNTech's third-quarter revenue from Comirnaty and other sources exceeded consensus estimates, coming in at €1,245 million compared to the expected €829 million.

Despite the strong quarter, management anticipates full-year 2024 revenues to be at the lower end of the €2.5 billion to €3.1 billion range, citing a decrease in the net price of their products globally.

The firm's analysis points to BioNTech shifting its strategic focus towards its oncology pipeline, which is expected to deliver multiple results from mid-to-late-stage trials in the last quarter of 2024 and throughout 2025. BNT327, a key asset in BioNTech's portfolio, is anticipated to advance into pivotal Phase 3 trials for first-line treatment of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), small cell lung cancer (SCLC), and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) within the upcoming months.

The revised price target reflects the company's near-term revenue expectations and the emphasis on its oncology pipeline's progress. The forthcoming trial readouts are poised to be significant for BioNTech, as they could potentially enhance the company's position in the cancer treatment market.

BioNTech's stock performance will likely be influenced by the outcomes of the upcoming Phase 3 trials and the company's ability to meet the lower end of its 2024 revenue guidance. Investors and market watchers are expected to closely monitor these developments as they unfold.

In other recent news, BioNTech SE (NASDAQ:BNTX) has reported significant progress in both the oncology and vaccine sectors in the third quarter of 2024. The company's Q3 revenue growth was driven by updates to its COVID-19 vaccines and advancements in its oncology pipeline, leading to revenues of €1.245 billion, a substantial increase from €895 million in Q3 2023.

BioNTech's bispecific immunomodulator BNT327, targeting PD-L1 and VEGF-A, showed a 74% objective response rate in TNBC, and its mRNA cancer vaccines, like BNT111 for melanoma, met primary endpoints in trials. Despite these successes, BioNTech anticipates a financial loss due to continued investment in oncology assets and expects full-year 2024 revenues at the low end of guidance.

The company also revised down its SG&A expenses guidance by €100 million, now estimated between €600 million to €700 million, and reduced capital expenditures from €400-500 million to €300-400 million.

Furthermore, BioNTech is managing R&D expenses while considering the expansion of their Phase 3 trial portfolio and has accrued approximately €600 million for contractual disputes, primarily related to ongoing patent issues.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on BioNTech's financial position and market performance. The company's market capitalization stands at $25.91 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the biotech sector. Despite the recent revenue beat, BioNTech faces challenges, as evidenced by its negative P/E ratio of -53.51 over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, indicating current unprofitability.

However, there are positive aspects to consider. An InvestingPro Tip highlights that BioNTech holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as it focuses on its oncology pipeline. Additionally, the company has seen a strong return of 39.06% over the last three months, suggesting investor optimism about its future prospects.

It's worth noting that analysts anticipate a sales decline in the current year, aligning with management's guidance for 2024 revenues at the lower end of their projected range. This expectation is reflected in the revenue growth of -54.07% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for BioNTech, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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