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BioMarin’s Voxzogo stock outlook intact as competition rises, says Goldman Sachs

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/25/2024, 06:03 AM
BMRN
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On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating and a $139.00 price target for BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:BMRN) stock. Following a meeting with BioMarin's top executives, the firm reiterated financial projections previously shared on Investor Day.

Despite the potential market entry of competitors in the treatment of achondroplasia, BioMarin's management remains confident in achieving approximately $4 billion in total revenue by FY27.

This outlook is supported by the growing penetration of Voxzogo in the U.S. market, which benefits from a broad label and no lower age restriction, potentially setting it apart from competitors like Ascendis Pharma (NASDAQ:ASND).

BioMarin's leadership, including President and CEO Alexander Hardy and EVP and CFO Brian Mueller, emphasized the company's strong patent position, which they believe would be infringed upon by a U.S. or EU launch of ASND's product.

However, they continue to forecast strong revenue growth, underpinned by the expansion of Voxzogo into new geographies and an optimized enzyme replacement business.

Looking beyond the immediate competitive landscape, BioMarin highlighted its early lead in expanding Voxzogo's indications, which could represent a greater than $5 billion opportunity in skeletal conditions.

The company also cited its early-stage pipeline and cost transformation initiatives as factors that will contribute to a mid-teen compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue through 2034, alongside non-GAAP operating margins in the low-to-mid 40% range.

Goldman Sachs sees potential for BioMarin to surpass its own guidance through external business development, which could provide additional upside and diversification. However, it was noted that there is ongoing investor debate regarding the company's outlook, especially with the increasing competitive pressure on BioMarin's key growth driver, Voxzogo.

The firm acknowledged the need for more data to fully understand the clinical profiles of competitors like ASND and BridgeBio Pharma (NASDAQ:BBIO), and that BioMarin is currently withholding details on full approval and intellectual property strategies for competitive reasons.

In other recent news, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. has been the subject of various analyst adjustments.

Citi maintained its Neutral stance with a $93 price target, while Scotiabank reduced its price target to $78 due to competitive risks.

Truist Securities cut its price target to $90, but kept a Buy rating.

RBC Capital adjusted its outlook, reducing BioMarin's price target to $85 with a Sector Perform rating.

Baird reiterated a neutral stance with a $72 price target, and Canaccord Genuity maintained a Hold rating with a $93 target.

These adjustments come as BioMarin prepares to present data from its CANOPY trial at the International Skeletal Dysplasia Society meeting, which will highlight the benefits of its Voxzogo treatment. Despite market pressures and competition from Ascendis Pharma's product, analysts anticipate stable commercial prospects for Voxzogo in the near term.

BioMarin recently reported record total revenue of $712 million and raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $2.75 billion and $2.825 billion. The company also set ambitious financial targets for 2027, including a revenue goal of $4 billion and Non-GAAP Operating Margins in the low-to-mid 40% range.

In the executive front, Dr. Greg Friberg succeeded Dr. Henry J. Fuchs as the new Executive Vice President, Chief Worldwide Research and Development Officer, and James Sabry was appointed as the new Executive Vice President, Chief Business Officer. These are the recent developments in BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.


InvestingPro Insights


As BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:BMRN) continues to navigate the competitive landscape with its treatment for achondroplasia, Voxzogo, recent data from InvestingPro provides a clearer financial picture for investors considering the company's prospects. With a market capitalization of $13.2 billion and a P/E ratio of 50.78, BioMarin is trading at a premium relative to its earnings. However, the company's revenue growth is notable, with a 15.83% increase in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.

Two InvestingPro Tips that are particularly relevant to BioMarin's current situation include the expectation of net income growth this year and the fact that six analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. These insights suggest a positive outlook for the company's financial performance, aligning with the confidence expressed by BioMarin's executives. Additionally, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week low, which could present an attractive entry point for investors.

For those seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive list of additional tips on BioMarin, providing investors with a more nuanced understanding of the company's financial health and market position. Visit https://www.investing.com/pro/BMRN to explore further and make informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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