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Berenberg raises Yara stock price target, maintains hold rating

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 07/23/2024, 12:16 PM
YARIY
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On Tuesday, Berenberg increased its price target on shares of Yara International ASA (OL:YAR:NO) (OTC: YARIY (OTC:YARIY)) to NOK339.00, up from the previous NOK326.00. The firm has decided to maintain a Hold rating on the stock. This adjustment follows Yara's second-quarter results released last Thursday, which revealed an improvement in profitability despite a slight revenue shortfall and a negative impact on Brazilian volumes.

Yara International reported its quarterly performance on July 19, showing stronger profitability, although the company's revenue was slightly below consensus expectations by 3%. Additionally, the company faced a setback in Brazil, where recent flooding affected its operations, resulting in a 140kt volume decrease.

In response to the challenges, Yara has announced new initiatives aimed at cutting costs and reducing capital expenditures. The company is targeting a reduction in both operating expenses and capex by $150 million each by the end of the fiscal year 2025.

The fertilizer producer is also focusing on improving efficiency by potentially scaling back or exiting projects and assets that are delivering below-average returns. In light of these developments and the firm's strategies to enhance performance, Berenberg has revised its forecast for Yara's FY24 adjusted EBITDA upward to $1,882 million from the prior estimate of $1,702 million.

The price target increase to NOK339 reflects the adjustments made to the future earnings expectations, considering the company's cost-cutting plans and capital expenditure reductions. Despite the positive outlook on the company's profitability, Berenberg's Hold rating suggests a cautious approach to the stock at this time.

In other recent news, Yara International ASA has announced an ambitious cost reduction and capital expenditure program during its second-quarter earnings call. The company plans to decrease fixed costs and capital expenditures by $150 million each by the end of 2025. This initiative is part of a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value, focusing on core operations and key priorities.

Despite a current return on invested capital at 6.1%, Yara anticipates an improved financial position through these cost reductions and a tightening nitrogen market. The company also reported a 26% increase in ammonia production in the first half of 2023 and a partnership with PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) Europe to supply low-carbon crop nutrition products.

As a part of its ongoing strategic review, Yara is considering restructuring or divesting lower-return assets. These recent developments indicate the company's commitment to operational optimization and financial improvement.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the recent developments and the price target increase by Berenberg, investors may find additional insights by considering key metrics and analyst trends provided by InvestingPro. Yara International ASA's market capitalization stands at $7.34 billion, with a P/E ratio of 28.01, reflecting investor expectations of future earnings potential. The company's strong free cash flow yield, as indicated by a P/E ratio adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 of 28.91, is a testament to its financial health and potential for investor returns.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that analysts are optimistic about Yara International's prospects, with four analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. Additionally, the company has shown a significant return over the last week, suggesting a positive short-term trend for the stock. Furthermore, Yara International has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns by maintaining dividend payments for 20 consecutive years, a factor that income-focused investors may find particularly reassuring.

For those looking to delve deeper into Yara International's financials and future outlook, InvestingPro offers additional tips that can be accessed through their platform. To enhance your investment research, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. With 7 additional InvestingPro Tips available, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of Yara International's market position and performance prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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