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Barclays sees upside in F5 Networks stock on software rebound and AI potential

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/29/2024, 06:10 AM
FFIV
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Tuesday - Barclays has raised its price target on F5 Networks (NASDAQ:FFIV) to $246 from $214, maintaining an Equalweight rating on the stock. The adjustment follows F5 Networks' solid September-quarter results, which featured a 19% year-over-year increase in software revenue, contributing to an 11% growth for the full fiscal year 2024.

The company's Systems and Global Services performance aligned closely with expectations, each missing estimates by approximately 1%. For fiscal year 2025, F5 Networks has guided for a mid-single-digit (MSD) increase in Systems revenue. Analysts believe the segment can rebound from a weak year as budget constraints ease and projects pick back up. Signs of recovery in the segment are becoming evident as the spending environment improves and backlog fulfillment issues have eased.

F5 Networks has also provided guidance for high-single-digit (HSD) software growth for fiscal year 2025, driven by new business and renewal strength. This forecast is slightly more conservative than previous double-digit expectations, but follows a fiscal year 2024 where software growth unexpectedly rose by 11%.

Gross margin (GM) for fiscal year 2024 met estimates, and operating margin (OPM) was four basis points higher than anticipated, demonstrating the company's continued focus on cost discipline. F5 Networks highlighted its partnership with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) on the BIG-IP Next project and the long-term opportunities in artificial intelligence. Despite a decline in overall Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and managed services software, the company emphasized growth in the underlying Distributed Cloud segment.

Looking ahead, F5 Networks aims to prioritize operating margin and earnings per share growth while achieving a mid-single-digit total revenue increase for the full fiscal year.

In other recent news, F5 Networks reported impressive financial performance, with Q3 revenue reaching $695 million and Q4 revenue projected to fall between $720 million and $740 million, leading to an expected full-year revenue of approximately $2.8 billion. The company has also expanded its board of directors with the addition of Maya McReynolds and Julie Gonzalez, both of whom bring extensive experience in finance and business strategy.

In terms of strategic partnerships, F5 Networks has strengthened its collaboration with NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP) to enhance artificial intelligence capabilities in enterprise environments through secure multicloud solutions. The company has also launched F5 NGINX One, a platform aimed at simplifying the management and security of applications and APIs across various environments.

Analysts from firms such as Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, and Piper Sandler have maintained their neutral stance on F5 Networks. Despite revisions, the forecast for fiscal year and calendar year 2025 remains in line with the general market consensus. These are some of the recent developments at F5 Networks.

InvestingPro Insights

F5 Networks' recent performance and future outlook are further illuminated by key financial metrics and expert insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $12.73 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the networking technology sector.

F5's impressive gross profit margin of 80.01% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 aligns with the article's mention of the company's focus on cost discipline. This is further supported by an InvestingPro Tip highlighting F5's "impressive gross profit margins."

The company's P/E ratio of 22.7 (adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024) suggests a reasonable valuation, especially considering the InvestingPro Tip that F5 is "trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth." This could indicate potential upside for investors, particularly in light of the company's projected mid-single-digit revenue increase for the full fiscal year.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that "management has been aggressively buying back shares," which may signal confidence in the company's future prospects and aligns with F5's focus on earnings per share growth mentioned in the article.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights on F5 Networks, with 7 more tips available on the platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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