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Barclays expects Carlsberg to beat its OSG guide, lifts stock price target

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 07/02/2024, 09:06 AM
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On Tuesday, Barclays maintained an Equalweight rating on Carlsberg (CSE:CARLb) A/S (CARLB:DC) (OTC: CABGY (OTC:CABGY)) while slightly increasing the stock's price target from DKK 988.00 to DKK 1,000.00. The adjustment comes amid expectations of a conservative outlook from the company, with predictions leaning towards an impending upward revision.

Barclays anticipates that Carlsberg will surpass its current full-year organic sales growth (OSG) guidance of 1-5%, projecting a 6.2% increase instead. The company’s end-of-year earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are also expected to be on the higher end of their high single-digit (HSD) guidance, which ranges from 4-8%. Barclays' forecast is set at a 7.2% EBIT rise for the full year.

The analyst noted that Carlsberg has already predicted a stronger EBIT performance in the second half of the year, given that marketing expenses are likely to be more substantial in the first half. This would result in more favorable comparative figures in the latter half, potentially leading to increased profitability.

The focus on Carlsberg has recently shifted beyond its current business operations to the potential acquisition of soft drink company Britvic. This development could represent a significant change in the company's strategic direction and market position.

Investors and market watchers are keeping a close eye on Carlsberg's financial performance and strategic moves, including any updates on the anticipated acquisition, which could have a notable impact on the company's stock value and market dynamics.

InvestingPro Insights

As Barclays adjusts its outlook on Carlsberg, real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional context to the brewery giant's financial landscape. With a market capitalization of $19.75 billion and a robust gross profit margin of 44.62% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, Carlsberg demonstrates a strong command over its cost structure, which may contribute to the higher profitability anticipated by Barclays in the second half of the year.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Carlsberg's consistent shareholder returns, noting the company has not only raised its dividend for 7 consecutive years but has also maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, suggesting a stable financial policy that could appeal to long-term investors. Additionally, the company's cash flows are reported to sufficiently cover interest payments, which is indicative of a solid financial foundation and may reassure investors of Carlsberg's ability to manage its debt effectively.

Despite recent market volatility reflected by a 1 Month Price Total Return of -10.64%, Carlsberg's status as a prominent player in the Beverages industry and the potential acquisition of Britvic could signal strategic growth opportunities. Investors interested in a deeper analysis of Carlsberg's metrics and additional insights can utilize the InvestingPro platform, which lists over 9 additional tips for the company. To access these insights and enhance your investment strategy, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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