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Baird maintains Outperform rating on Guidewire shares

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 10/11/2024, 06:59 AM
GWRE
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Baird has reiterated its Outperform rating on shares of Guidewire (NYSE: NYSE:GWRE) with a steady price target of $204.00.

The firm's stance comes after Guidewire's emphasis on its evolution during the company's recent analyst day.

Guidewire highlighted its progress in transitioning to a cloud-based platform and outlined its focus on leveraging its platform and ecosystem to explore new offerings and markets.

The analyst day included a discussion on Guidewire's product and go-to-market strategies, which are aimed at tapping into the potential of a fully scaled Vertical SaaS platform. Guidewire's growth trajectory, as presented, suggests that the company is moving past the initial stages of its cloud transition and is now setting its sights on achieving significant outcomes.

Baird's commentary also touched upon Guidewire's financial aspirations, noting the introduction of a new long-term financial model. This model sets targets for an 80% subscription gross margin and a 40% EBIT margin. These financial benchmarks are part of Guidewire's strategy to enhance its position and financial performance in the market.

The firm continues to view Guidewire as a high-quality franchise and believes there is a credible case for upside in the company's mid-term annual recurring revenue (ARR) and free cash flow (FCF) performance. This positive outlook is based on Guidewire's strategic initiatives and its potential for growth in the evolving cloud-based software landscape.

In other recent news, Guidewire Software Inc . has been the focus of several analyst firms, each adjusting their outlooks based on the company's promising financial trajectory. RBC Capital maintained its Outperform rating and raised its price target to $215, citing Guidewire's ambitious long-term profitability targets and maturing cloud product offerings.

Analyst firms BTIG, Baird, Goldman Sachs, and Oppenheimer also maintained or upgraded their ratings on Guidewire, highlighting the company's strong business momentum and growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR).

Guidewire's fiscal 2025 guidance projects a milestone of $1 billion in ARR and a total revenue expected to be between $1.135 billion and $1.149 billion. This promising financial trajectory is largely attributed to the company's successful cloud platform. Oppenheimer, for instance, anticipates Guidewire's ARR to reach $1.5 billion by fiscal years 2027/2028, driven by factors such as cloud migrations and tier-1 adoption.

In addition, the company has expanded its board of directors with the appointment of Mark Anquillare, former President and COO of Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ:VRSK). However, Guidewire was implicated in a hacking incident involving a British individual, Robert Westbrook, who was arrested on charges of hacking into several companies, including Guidewire, for insider trading information.

InvestingPro Insights

Guidewire's recent analyst day presentation and Baird's optimistic outlook are further supported by real-time data and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $15.22 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the software industry. Guidewire has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with a 8.3% increase over the last twelve months, reaching $980.5 million. This growth aligns with the company's strategic focus on expanding its cloud-based platform and exploring new markets.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 13 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in Guidewire's financial performance. This aligns with Baird's positive stance and the company's new long-term financial model targeting improved margins. Additionally, Guidewire's stock has shown a strong return over the last year, with a remarkable 98.8% price total return, indicating investor enthusiasm for the company's cloud transition strategy.

It's worth noting that Guidewire is trading near its 52-week high, with the current price at 99.01% of its peak. While this reflects market optimism, the InvestingPro Tip suggesting the stock may be in overbought territory based on RSI could be a point of consideration for investors.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips for Guidewire, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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