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Baird maintains Nike Outperform rating with steady target

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 09/26/2024, 06:53 AM
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Baird reaffirmed its confidence in Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE), maintaining an Outperform rating and a price target of $110.00. The firm's analysis suggests that Nike is poised to surpass the conservative estimates set for the first fiscal quarter, despite challenges such as reduced demand in China and a reset in the classics footwear segment. Baird's outlook remains positive, anticipating that the company will meet its previously stated full-year revenue growth target in the mid-single digits.

Nike's management may adjust second-half expectations to provide a buffer for the incoming CEO, Elliott Hill, who will be tasked with enhancing the quality of sales and profitability amid a tough economic landscape. However, Baird expects investors to focus on the forecasted earnings per share (EPS) of over $3 for the fiscal year 2026, which is seen as a sign of a potential multi-year earnings recovery. This perspective, coupled with the upcoming leadership transition, is believed to support a stronger valuation base for Nike.

The analyst's commentary indicates that despite the possibility of management setting a lower bar for the latter half of the year, the overall financial goals, including the mid-single-digit revenue growth, are within reach. The emphasis is on Nike's ability to outperform modest first-quarter estimates and the firm's belief in the company's longer-term strategy, which is expected to become clearer under the new CEO's direction.

Investors are advised to maintain their exposure to Nike shares as the company navigates through these changes and the broader economic headwinds. The endorsement of the Outperform rating by Baird reflects a positive stance on Nike's stock, suggesting that the firm sees a favorable investment opportunity ahead of the detailed unveiling of management's long-term plans.

In summary, Baird's current assessment of Nike underscores the firm's expectation of a strong financial performance and a resilient valuation, despite potential short-term adjustments by the company's management in response to the challenging economic environment.

In other recent news, Nike has seen significant changes in its leadership and strategic direction. Nike announced the appointment of Elliot Hill, a veteran with 32 years of service, as its new CEO. Truist Securities, while maintaining a Hold rating on Nike's shares, expressed caution regarding the company's future, citing concerns about overly optimistic sales increase expectations and the potential lengthy process of a turnaround.

In contrast, Bernstein SocGen Group maintained an Outperform rating on Nike shares with a steady price target of $109.00, while RBC Capital Markets and Morgan Stanley raised their price targets to $85 and $82 respectively, maintaining a Sector Perform and Equalweight rating.

Nike is also implementing a $2 billion cost-saving plan, which includes a 2% reduction in its workforce, in response to challenging sales performance and market share loss to competitors. Analysts from various financial firms, including Baird and Evercore ISI, have expressed positive expectations for Nike's performance under Hill's leadership.

However, Stifel and Williams Trading have adjusted their ratings for Nike, with Stifel reducing their price target due to U.S. market pressures and Williams Trading upgrading the stock rating from Sell to Buy.


InvestingPro Insights


As Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE) continues to navigate through an evolving economic landscape, real-time data from InvestingPro provides additional insights into the company's financial health and market position. With a substantial market capitalization of $131.87 billion, Nike stands as a significant player in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident through its impressive track record of raising dividends for 22 consecutive years, a testament to its financial stability and investor-friendly approach. Nike's P/E ratio, currently at 23.37, indicates a premium valuation, which aligns with Baird's positive outlook and the stock's recent significant return over the last week, boasting an 8.67% price total return.

InvestingPro Tips further highlight Nike's robust financial footing, with cash flows that can sufficiently cover interest payments and liquid assets that exceed short-term obligations. As investors look forward to the detailed unveiling of management's long-term plans, they can also take note of the company's moderate level of debt and the analysts' predictions of profitability for the year. For those seeking a deeper dive into Nike's financial metrics and strategic positioning, InvestingPro offers additional tips, with a total count of 12 tips available on their platform, providing a comprehensive analysis for informed investment decisions.

To explore these insights in more detail, investors can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/NKE for a full array of InvestingPro Tips and metrics tailored to Nike's financial landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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