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Baird lowers Lincoln Electric shares price target as demand softening continues

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 09/05/2024, 08:56 AM
LECO
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On Thursday, Baird maintained its Outperform rating on Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ:LECO) but reduced the price target to $212 from the previous $220.

The adjustment follows comments from the CEO of Lincoln Electric during a conference hosted by a competitor. The CEO highlighted a further softening in demand observed in August, which could potentially lead to lower volumes and margins than previously anticipated.

The Baird analyst noted that Lincoln Electric's situation seems to be part of a broader trend affecting other industrials exposed to short-cycle dynamics. This trend is primarily attributed to production cuts by Off-Highway Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) in the agricultural sector, with construction expected to follow suit. These production reductions are anticipated to continue into the first half of 2025.

In response to the CEO's remarks and the current industry climate, Baird has revised its estimates for Lincoln Electric. The firm anticipates making additional adjustments based on the results of channel checks scheduled for later in the month. The overall sentiment remains that while Lincoln Electric faces near-term challenges, its long-term prospects justify an Outperform rating despite the lowered price target.

Lincoln Electric's recent developments reflect the ongoing adjustments within the industrial sector as companies navigate shifting demand and supply chain dynamics. The company's stock price target revision by Baird is a direct response to these factors, as analysts continue to monitor the industry for further signs of change.

In other recent news, Lincoln Electric has experienced a series of developments. The company reported its second-quarter earnings, revealing a 4% drop in organic sales, yet maintained a solid operating income margin of 17.4%.

Lincoln Electric is focusing on expansion through acquisitions, which have added approximately $175 million in annualized sales. The recent purchases of Inrotech and Vanair are expected to contribute to the company's earnings run rate.

In response to the company's revised outlook, KeyBanc has lowered the price target for Lincoln Electric from $240 to $210, while maintaining an overweight rating. This adjustment came after Lincoln Electric announced at an investor conference in London that it expects a possible decline in organic growth and operating margin compression if current activity levels persist.

The company also launched the 150-kilowatt Velion fast charger for electric vehicles, with revenue from this venture expected to be delayed until late 2025. Furthermore, the Harris Products Group, a part of Lincoln Electric, saw a 3% sales increase with a significant 28% jump in adjusted EBIT to $25 million.

These are among the recent developments for Lincoln Electric.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Baird's recent update on Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ:LECO), current InvestingPro data shows a market capitalization of $9.97 billion and a P/E ratio of 19.66, which adjusts to 18.56 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. Despite the recent softening in demand, Lincoln Electric has a track record of resilience, as evidenced by the company's ability to maintain dividend payments for 51 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 1.61% as of the latest data. Furthermore, the company's dividend growth over the last twelve months was 10.94%.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Lincoln Electric has a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating strong financial health, and the company's liquid assets surpass short-term obligations, suggesting a solid balance sheet. However, investors should note that the stock has experienced a significant decline over the last six months, with a six-month price total return of -29.98%. This may present a potential opportunity for investors considering the company's long-term profitability and the analyst-targeted fair value of $212, compared to the InvestingPro fair value estimate of $195.37.

For those looking for additional insights, there are 15 InvestingPro Tips available for Lincoln Electric, which could provide further guidance on the stock's performance and outlook. These tips are part of the comprehensive analysis offered by InvestingPro, designed to help investors make informed decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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