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Baird cuts Host Hotels stock target, maintains Neutral rating on earnings release

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/05/2024, 07:39 AM
HST
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On Monday, Baird revised its price target on shares of Host Hotels & Resorts Inc (NASDAQ:HST), a lodging real estate investment trust, reducing it to $19.00 from the previous $21.00 while keeping a Neutral stance on the stock. The adjustment follows the company's earnings release, which reflected a tempered growth forecast for the second half of 2024 amid current economic uncertainties and a slower recovery in the Maui market.

The firm indicated that the revised outlook for Host Hotels seems to now be more in line with what investors were anticipating. Despite the need for patience highlighted by Baird, the firm also noted a silver lining, suggesting that the setup for Host Hotels could become more appealing as the market moves into 2025 and beyond. This optimism is based on the current low earnings estimates and valuation multiples, which could potentially offer more favorable risk-adjusted returns, especially when the situation in Maui improves.

Host Hotels' situation reflects the broader challenges faced by the hospitality sector, which has been navigating through a period of uncertainty and uneven recovery patterns across different geographic regions. The slower growth in the latter half of 2024 and the prolonged recovery trajectory in Maui have been key factors in Baird's reassessment of the company's stock.

The firm's commentary underscores a cautious but forward-looking approach to Host Hotels' stock. While the near-term outlook requires a tempered view, Baird's analysis suggests that there may be potential for improvement in the company's performance in the medium to long term, particularly if the Maui market begins to recover.

Investors and market watchers will likely continue to monitor Host Hotels' performance closely, especially in relation to the evolving macroeconomic landscape and the pace of recovery in key markets such as Maui. The revised price target of $19.00 serves as Baird's current valuation benchmark for the company's shares.

In other recent news, Host Hotels & Resorts reported mixed financial results for the second quarter of 2024. The company's adjusted EBITDAre reached $476 million, with adjusted funds from operations (FFO) per share at $0.57. Despite facing challenges in Maui due to decreased demand, the company saw a slight increase in comparable hotel total revenue per available room (RevPAR) by 50 basis points year-over-year.

In a significant development, Host Hotels & Resorts acquired two luxury properties, 1 Hotel Central Park and the Ritz-Carlton O'ahu Turtle Bay, for a total of $895 million. These acquisitions are projected to contribute $22 million to the adjusted EBITDA in 2024. The company also plans to launch sales of its properties in the fourth quarter after completing extensive renovations since 2018.

However, the company's outlook indicates an anticipated RevPAR growth of -1% to +1% and an EBITDA margin decline of 60 to 110 basis points for 2024. Despite these projections, Host Hotels & Resorts is focusing on integrating new acquisitions and investing in its portfolio, with additional stock buybacks under consideration. These recent developments reflect Host Hotels & Resorts' strategic approach to navigating current market conditions.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent adjustments to Host Hotels & Resorts Inc's (NASDAQ:HST) outlook, current InvestingPro data provides additional context for investors considering the company's stock. As of the last twelve months leading up to Q2 2024, Host Hotels has a market capitalization of $11.54 billion and is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.31, which suggests a reasonable valuation compared to industry peers. The company's revenue showed a growth of 4.64%, indicating a steady upward trend in earnings.

Two InvestingPro Tips that are particularly relevant to the article's discussion on Host Hotels' future prospects are:

  • Management has been aggressively buying back shares, which can be a sign of confidence in the company's valuation and future performance.
  • The stock pays a significant dividend to shareholders, with a robust dividend yield of 7.72% as of the most recent data, which could appeal to income-focused investors.

These insights suggest that while Host Hotels faces near-term challenges, the company's share repurchase strategy and attractive dividend yield may offer investors reasons for optimism. Additionally, with a total of 10 InvestingPro Tips available on the platform (https://www.investing.com/pro/HST), interested parties can delve deeper into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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