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AutoZone stock target cut, keeps buy rating on sales pressure

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09/25/2024, 08:23 AM
AZO
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On Wednesday, Truist Securities adjusted its outlook for AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) shares, reducing the price target to $3,341 from the previous $3,394. The firm sustained its Buy rating on the automotive parts retailer's stock. The adjustment follows a period where sales slightly missed expectations due to ongoing challenges faced by discretionary goods, which make up approximately 18% of sales, showing a 5% decline.

The company's commercial sales segment showed some sequential improvement and remained relatively stable over a two-year period. International sales continued to experience double-digit growth, excluding foreign exchange effects. Truist Securities anticipates that sales trends for AutoZone may see improvement in fiscal year 2025 as inflation on same-store products is expected to reassert itself, and as year-over-year comparisons for discretionary and do-it-yourself categories become more favorable.

Despite the potential for improved sales, the analyst noted concerns about margins potentially falling below the algorithmic rate. This is attributed to foreign exchange headwinds, particularly if the current Peso/USD exchange rate persists, along with additional Last In, First Out (LIFO) accounting charges.

Truist Securities remains optimistic about AutoZone's prospects, citing an anticipated uptick in top-line growth, solid earnings flow-through, and a consistent stock buyback strategy as reasons to maintain a Buy rating despite the lowered price target.

In other recent news, AutoZone has been the subject of numerous analyst ratings and adjustments following its latest earnings report. Despite falling short of expectations, the company reported an 11% increase in earnings per share and a 9% rise in revenue, reaching $6.21 billion. TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating for AutoZone with a price target of $3,450, citing the company's potential growth in the Do It For Me sector and the acceleration of megahub stores.

Firms such as William Blair, Mizuho, and DA Davidson also maintained positive ratings, while Citi reduced its price target to $3,500 but maintained a Buy rating. Morgan Stanley increased its price target to $3,125, expressing confidence in the company's potential for normalized top-line growth over the medium term.

Moreover, AutoZone plans to expedite the construction of more than 20 megahub locations in the coming year to enhance delivery speed and parts availability. However, the company is currently under investigation by U.S. lawmakers for potential tariff evasion related to purchases from a Chinese company, Qingdao Sunsong. These are the most recent developments for AutoZone.


InvestingPro Insights


As AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) navigates through the current economic landscape, real-time data from InvestingPro offers a glimpse into the company's financial performance and market position. AutoZone's market capitalization stands at a robust $51.91 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the automotive parts industry. Despite facing margin concerns, the company's Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.21 indicates a strong valuation by market participants, which may be justified by its gross profit margin of 53.18% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that AutoZone has been actively engaging in share buybacks, a strategy that can signal confidence from management in the company's value and future prospects. Moreover, AutoZone's stock has been characterized by low price volatility, providing some stability for investors in turbulent market conditions.

It is worth noting that AutoZone does not pay dividends, which could influence investment decisions for those seeking regular income streams. For readers interested in a deeper dive into AutoZone's investment profile, there are additional tips available on InvestingPro, including insights on the company's profitability and debt management.

Overall, while the analyst report from Truist Securities presents a cautious near-term outlook, the long-term perspective, supported by InvestingPro data, suggests that AutoZone maintains a strong market position with a potential for growth, especially considering the company's profitability over the last twelve months and a high return over the last decade. For those considering an investment in AutoZone, a comprehensive analysis, including the 9 additional InvestingPro Tips found at https://www.investing.com/pro/AZO, could provide valuable guidance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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