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Autodesk share price target cut by BMO in wake of accounting investigation conclusion

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/12/2024, 08:45 AM
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On Wednesday, BMO Capital adjusted its stance on Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), reducing the share price target to $254 from the former $293 while keeping a Market Perform rating on the stock. The decision comes in the wake of Autodesk concluding its accounting investigation and providing new insights into its business trajectory for the year.

Autodesk, a software company listed on NASDAQ:ADSK, has been under scrutiny following an accounting investigation which has now been resolved. BMO Capital's analyst pointed out that despite the challenges in the broader market, Autodesk's commitment to maintain its outlook for billings and free cash flow (FCF) for fiscal year 2025 (FY25) is a positive sign. However, the expected billings growth throughout the year is now anticipated to be slightly higher than previously estimated.

The ongoing transition of Autodesk's business model in the U.S. adds complexity to the current outlook but also presents a potential path for clarity on catalysts as the company moves into fiscal year 2026 (FY26). The Market Perform rating suggests that the analyst sees the stock as neither significantly undervalued nor overvalued at its current trading price.

The price target adjustment reflects a cautious but not pessimistic view of Autodesk's near-term setup, acknowledging the complexities of the business model transition while also recognizing the company's solid financial outlook in the medium term. Autodesk's management and investors will likely keep an eye on the company's progress as it navigates through these changes and strives to achieve its financial goals in the coming years.

In other recent news, Autodesk has reported a successful start to fiscal 2025, with first-quarter revenue increasing by 12% to $1.42 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87, both surpassing analyst expectations. Despite a 5% decrease in total billings, future revenue pipeline appears strong with remaining performance obligations growing by 12% year-over-year.

Autodesk's outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 forecasts revenue between $1.475 billion and $1.490 billion, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $1.98 and $2.04. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company anticipates revenue growth of 9% to 11%.

Analysts have provided mixed responses to these developments. Rosenblatt Securities maintained its Buy rating and a $290.00 price target, while RBC Capital reiterated an Outperform rating with a steady price target of $260.00.

On the other hand, Deutsche Bank reduced its price target to $245 from the previous $265, maintaining a Hold rating, and Goldman Sachs cut its price target to $225 from the previous $230, reaffirming a Sell rating on the company.

In addition, Autodesk announced Project Bernini, an AI model designed to generate 3D shapes from various inputs, marking a significant advancement in the design space. These recent developments reflect the company's strategic initiatives and financial health, providing investors with a clearer picture of Autodesk's current status and future prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

As Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) navigates through its business model transition and aims to meet its financial targets, insights from InvestingPro shed additional light on the company's performance and valuation. Autodesk boasts a robust gross profit margin of 91.73% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, underscoring its ability to maintain profitability amid market shifts. However, the company is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 45.58, suggesting a premium valuation relative to near-term earnings growth.

With a market capitalization of $45.68 billion and a price-to-book ratio of 21.14, Autodesk's valuation metrics indicate investor confidence in its assets and future growth potential. These financials, coupled with a 10.6% revenue growth over the last twelve months, reflect a company that is expanding its top line effectively. For readers seeking a deeper dive into Autodesk's financial health, InvestingPro offers additional tips, including analysis on the company's debt levels and earnings multiples. Investors can access these insights and more by using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro, which currently lists 13 additional tips for Autodesk.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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