On Monday, Piper Sandler adjusted its price target for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE: AJG), a global insurance brokerage and risk management services firm, to $252 from the previous figure of $253. The firm maintained its Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows the company's recent earnings report, which was seen as slightly exceeding expectations.
Arthur J. Gallagher's performance was described as solid against a backdrop of high valuation for insurance brokers and lingering worries about slowing organic growth. The company's stock is currently trading at a premium, with its 2025 estimated earnings at 20.4 times, compared to the peer group average of 18.4 times. Moreover, its 2025 estimated price to EBITDA ratio stands at 13.7 times, above the peer group average of 11.9 times.
Despite the premium valuation, the brokerage firm acknowledges Arthur J. Gallagher's consistent track record of outperforming its peers. This performance justifies a higher price to EBITDA multiple. The new price target of $252 is based on a 14 times multiple of the firm's EBITDA estimate of $18.00 per share. This adjustment reflects the lower valuations currently being paid for insurance brokers and the assessment that the valuation peak for the sector has likely been reached.
The prior stock price target of $253 was calculated using a 15 times multiple on the previous 2025 estimated EBITDA of $16.86 per share. This change in the target price is indicative of a slight shift in the valuation approach in light of the current market conditions for insurance brokers.
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