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Aramark stock upgraded on potential for double-digit earnings growth - RBC

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/17/2024, 04:34 AM
ARMK
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On Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets upgraded ARAMARK Holdings (NYSE:ARMK) stock, giving them an Outperform rating with a new price target of $42.50, an increase from the previous target of $36.00. The firm highlighted several factors that could drive shareholder value for ARAMARK, including imminent stock buybacks.


According to RBC Capital, following the Vestis spin-off, ARAMARK is now in a strong position compared to its larger competitors. The firm anticipates that ARAMARK's growth strategy will likely result in a low teen compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) over the next three years, along with a high teens growth in Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS).


The analyst pointed out that ARAMARK's net new business wins, combined with like-for-like (LfL) pricing and volume growth, are expected to underpin 5% to 7% organic top-line growth in the near term. Additionally, incremental AOI margins are set to benefit from the recovery of margins in Business & Industry (B&I) and Education sectors to pre-pandemic levels, as well as from ongoing productivity improvements and the leveraging of group overheads.


RBC Capital's upgrade comes as a positive outlook for ARAMARK, suggesting that the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning are expected to yield significant financial growth and operational efficiency. The firm's analysis indicates that ARAMARK's actions are aligning to enhance value for its shareholders.


In other recent news, Truist Securities raised the price target for ARAMARK to $42 from $37, maintaining a buy rating, despite slightly reducing the company's earnings per share estimates for fiscal years 2024 and 2025 due to anticipated foreign exchange headwinds. Similarly, Citi upgraded ARAMARK's price target to $40.50, also retaining a buy rating, and highlighted the company's international growth and success in the Sports & Leisure segment.


In terms of earnings, ARAMARK posted a record Q3 revenue of $4.4 billion, an 11% organic growth year-over-year, attributed to base business growth, new client acquisitions, and effective pricing strategies. The company's CEO, John Zillmer, was granted Restricted Stock Units valued at $5 million, contingent upon his continued employment with the company.


These are recent developments in ARAMARK's financial trajectory and strategic moves. The company's management has provided positive commentary on mid-term trends, highlighting a strong international sales pipeline and a record-setting selling season in the U.S. Education sector. Additionally, ARAMARK has been actively pursuing Group Purchasing Organization acquisition opportunities to enhance its capabilities.


InvestingPro Insights


Following the upbeat analysis from RBC Capital Markets, InvestingPro data provides a deeper dive into ARAMARK's (NYSE:ARMK) financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $10.09 billion, ARAMARK displays a Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.9, which adjusts to a more attractive 16.85 when considering the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This suggests that the company's earnings might be more robust than the current year's simple P/E ratio indicates.


While analysts have shown concerns, revising earnings downwards for the upcoming period, ARAMARK's revenue growth remains strong at 22.62% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. Moreover, the company has demonstrated an impressive EBITDA growth of 62.55% in the same period, which can be an indicator of efficient operations and profitability. Despite a noted decline in gross profit margins to 16.31%, ARAMARK continues to be a prominent player in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry.


InvestingPro Tips highlight that ARAMARK has maintained dividend payments for 11 consecutive years, a testament to its commitment to shareholder returns. However, the dividend growth has seen a downturn of -13.64% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. As for stock performance, ARAMARK is trading near its 52-week high, with a price that's 99.27% of this peak, indicating strong recent performance in the stock market.


For investors looking for more detailed analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive list of tips on ARAMARK, including information on sales expectations, profit margins, and stock volatility. To explore these insights and enhance investment strategies, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/ARMK.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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