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Analyst maintains neutral stance on General Mills, cites earnings outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 07/10/2024, 02:22 PM
GIS
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On Wednesday, Citi maintained its Neutral rating on shares of General Mills (NYSE:GIS) with a consistent price target of $68.00. During a recent virtual investor meeting with the company's CEO Jeff Harmening and VP Jeff Siemon, the focus was on the sales and earnings outlook for the upcoming fiscal year.

General Mills had previously reported its fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2024 and provided guidance for fiscal year 2025 two weeks earlier.

The discussion in the investor meeting also touched upon longer-term aspects of General Mills' business. The insights from the meeting offered a clearer picture of the company's expectations for fiscal year 2025, which appeared reasonable to the analysts.

Furthermore, the conversation shed light on the food-at-home market, which seems promising, though challenges persist with larger food companies facing market share erosion.

General Mills' leadership team provided an overview of the strategic initiatives and operational drivers anticipated to influence the company's performance in the near term. While the earnings and sales drivers for the next fiscal year were a central topic, the conversation also acknowledged the competitive pressures within the industry.

The meeting offered investors a chance to engage directly with General Mills' executives and gain a deeper understanding of the company's direction and potential in a changing market landscape. Despite the positive outlook on the food-at-home sector, the challenge of market share loss among big food corporations was recognized as a significant hurdle.

Citi's reiteration of the Neutral rating and price target reflects a cautious yet stable perspective on General Mills' stock, taking into account the company's current position and future prospects as discussed in the investor meeting. General Mills' stock continues to be monitored by investors as the company navigates through the upcoming fiscal year with its set strategies and market conditions.

In other recent news, General Mills experienced a series of financial adjustments and strategic shifts. The company's Q4 earnings report revealed a significant revenue shortfall, leading Mizuho to reduce its price target from $70 to $62, while maintaining a neutral rating.

TD Cowen followed suit, lowering its price target from $70 to $65, also retaining a hold rating. Both firms cited concerns over the company's growth delay due to ongoing consumer pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Recent developments show General Mills' Q4 earnings exceeded EPS estimates, reporting $1.01 against a forecasted $0.97. However, the company reported a 6% decline in organic sales and a 10% drop in organic sales in international markets, particularly Brazil and China. Despite these challenges, General Mills outlined plans for fiscal year 2025, intending to stimulate volume growth through significant investment.

CEO Jeffrey Harmening expressed confidence in the company's strategies, expecting equal contributions from price and volume to 2025 growth. General Mills also anticipates a modest expansion in gross margins, despite increased investment.

The company has outlined capital allocation priorities that include internal investment for growth, dividend increases, and potential mergers and acquisitions in the $1 billion to $1.5 billion range.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Citi's neutral stance on General Mills, it is worth noting that the company has been actively managing its share count, with management aggressively buying back shares. This proactive approach to capital distribution is complemented by a consistent track record of dividend payments, having raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years and maintained payments for an impressive 54 years. For those interested in the stability of income-generating assets, these dividends are an essential factor to consider.

From a valuation standpoint, General Mills is trading at a lower earnings multiple (P/E Ratio of 14.44) compared to some industry peers, which could indicate a potential undervaluation of the stock. Moreover, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week low, which alongside an oversold RSI, may suggest a buying opportunity for value investors.

Investors looking for a more in-depth analysis, including additional InvestingPro Tips, can delve further into General Mills' financial health and market position by using the special coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. With 10 analysts having revised their earnings expectations downwards, it's crucial to stay informed on the potential impact this could have on the stock's performance. The full suite of InvestingPro Tips provides valuable insights into these revisions and other critical financial metrics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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