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Analyst lifts Lennar stock price target, keeps Buy on strong earnings

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 06/27/2024, 01:40 PM
LEN
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On Thursday, Argus, a prominent market analysis firm, increased its price target for shares of Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN), a leading home construction company, adjusting it to $180 from the previous target of $175. The firm has sustained its Buy rating on the stock.

The upgrade follows Lennar's recent fiscal second-quarter earnings report on June 17, which showcased a 15% rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $3.45, surpassing both the company's forecast range of $3.15-$3.25 and Argus's estimate of $3.20. Lennar's performance for the quarter ending May 31 was underpinned by robust sales incentives that helped maintain consumer interest despite challenges in affordability and fluctuating interest rates.

Stuart Miller, Executive Chairman and Co-CEO of Lennar, acknowledged the headwinds faced by the housing market, including the impact of interest rate movements on affordability and consumer sentiment. Still, he noted that buyers were still engaging thanks to the company's strategic use of sales incentives.

Lennar's strategic approach has been to concentrate on production efficiency, leveraging pricing, incentives, marketing expenditure, and margin adjustments to support consistent sales volumes. This strategy has proven effective, as evidenced by the company's ability to raise its annual dividend significantly over the past five years, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 65%, with dividends increasing from $0.16 to $2.00.

In other recent news, Lennar Corporation's earnings per share (EPS) for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to decrease to $13.92, a 2% drop, and for the fiscal year 2025 to $14.83, down by 3%, according to RBC Capital.

This is attributed to an expected decrease in the company's gross margin percentage and a rise in selling, general, and administrative expenses. Still, despite mixed demand conditions, most of Lennar's key markets remain favorable, and the company's plans to handle $6-8 billion in assets exceed previous expectations.

Analysts from various firms have adjusted their stock targets for Lennar. BTIG lowered its target to $175, Barclays reduced its target to $177, and Evercore ISI cut its target to $237. Despite these adjustments, all firms maintained positive ratings on the stock. These revisions came after Lennar's Q2 earnings report, which showed earnings per share of $3.45, surpassing estimates from both BTIG and consensus.

Lennar is also making strategic changes, with a shift towards an asset-light structure aimed at increasing capital returns to shareholders. This includes an expansion of its land spin to between $6 billion and $8 billion, and reducing the size of its on-balance sheet multifamily assets. According to Goldman Sachs, this shift and a consistent production rate are expected to enhance cash generation.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the positive outlook from Argus on Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN), InvestingPro data further enriches the analysis of the company's financial health and market position. With a solid market capitalization of $41.43 billion, Lennar exhibits a strong presence in the industry. The company's P/E ratio stands at 9.42, suggesting that it may be trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings.

Lennar's commitment to shareholder returns is evident, as the company has not only managed to maintain its dividend payments for an impressive 47 consecutive years but has also achieved a dividend growth rate of 33.33% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This is a testament to Lennar's financial stability and its ability to generate and distribute wealth to its shareholders consistently.

For those looking to delve deeper into Lennar's financials and market potential, InvestingPro provides additional insights. With tips such as the company's ability to hold more cash than debt on its balance sheet and the fact that it has been profitable over the last twelve months, investors can gain a more nuanced understanding of Lennar's financial standing.

Moreover, Lennar's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing further confidence in its financial resilience. For more detailed analysis and further InvestingPro Tips, interested readers can explore https://www.investing.com/pro/LEN, and don't forget to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. In total, there are 12 additional tips available on InvestingPro that can guide investors in making more informed decisions about Lennar Corporation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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