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Analyst firm starts Persimmon with Buy on margin improvement potential

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 06/21/2024, 11:50 AM
PSMMY
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On Friday, Stifel initiated coverage on Persimmon Plc shares (LON:PSN:LN) (OTC: PSMMY), a major UK housebuilder, with a Buy rating and a price target of GBP16.50. The firm highlighted the company's potential for margin improvement and return to industry-leading status, supported by low land costs.

The analyst from Stifel expressed confidence in Persimmon's ability to recover its previous high performance levels. The company's current margins and returns were noted as being less than half of their peak values.

The favorable conditions for the housebuilder were attributed to its significant presence in Northern England, where house price affordability remains reasonable, and its strong engagement with the first-time buyer market, which is currently benefiting from wage increases and faces higher costs in the rental sector.

Stifel's price target for Persimmon is based on the company's recovery potential. The firm's analysis suggests significant upside for the stock, considering the housebuilder's strategic positions and market conditions. The analyst pointed out that the primary concern is the possibility that the company's business model may have deeper issues than currently perceived.

Persimmon's exposure to a demographic of first-time buyers, who are experiencing wage growth, was also seen as a positive factor. This demographic is considered to be in a better position to purchase homes as opposed to renting, which is becoming increasingly expensive.

Stifel's report concluded with a note on risks, stating that the main concern is the potential that Persimmon's business model may be more challenged than it appears. Nevertheless, the firm's outlook for Persimmon remains positive, as indicated by the Buy rating and GBP16.50 price target, suggesting confidence in the company's future performance.

In other recent news, Persimmon Plc has been the focus of positive analyst attention. CFRA upgraded Persimmon's shares from Hold to Buy, raising the stock price target to GBP15.00 from GBP14.00.

This upgrade reflects a positive outlook on Persimmon's future performance, anticipating a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9x for 2024, a premium compared to the industry's forward P/E of 14.7x. This valuation is attributed to Persimmon's competitively priced homes and a potential government focus on the sector.

CFRA maintained the earnings per share estimate for 2024 at GBP0.84 and increased the 2025 EPS projection to GBP1.10 from GBP1.03. Despite a slight year-over-year decrease in new home completions for the first quarter of 2024, Persimmon reported an increase in forward sales to GBP1.75 billion, up from GBP1.69 billion in the first quarter of 2023. The company also experienced a year-over-year improvement in net sales rate, rising to 0.66 from 0.62.

These are among the recent developments for Persimmon, with CFRA's upgrade partly based on the expectation of a more favorable housing market outlook in the United Kingdom. The firm's analysis indicates that the current sales trends and market conditions may lead to a more optimistic investor sentiment towards Persimmon.

InvestingPro Insights

As Stifel initiates coverage on Persimmon Plc with optimism for the company's margin improvement and return to industry-leading status, real-time data from InvestingPro enriches this perspective. Persimmon Plc holds a market capitalization of $5.48 billion, indicating its substantial presence in the market.

The company's P/E ratio stands at 16.98, which is adjusted to a more attractive 9.27 when considering the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, pointing to a potentially undervalued stock. Moreover, Persimmon's dividend yield is notably high at 6.89%, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

InvestingPro Tips highlight the company's financial prudence, as Persimmon Plc holds more cash than debt, suggesting a strong balance sheet. Moreover, the company pays a significant dividend and has maintained these payments for 15 consecutive years, which is a testament to its financial stability and reliability as an investment.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, there are over five additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed for a more comprehensive understanding of Persimmon's financial health and outlook. For those seeking to take advantage of these insights, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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