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Analyst cuts Intrusion Inc. stock target, keeps neutral stance on revenue growth

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/14/2024, 08:22 AM
INTZ
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On Wednesday, H.C. Wainwright adjusted its outlook on shares of Intrusion Inc. (NASDAQ:INTZ), lowering the price target to $1.50 from the previous $2.50, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows the company's announcement of its second quarter financial results for 2024, which were released after the market closed on Tuesday.

Intrusion reported second-quarter revenue of $1.5 million, which not only surpassed the analyst's estimate of $1.3 million but also showed an increase from the first quarter of 2024. The analyst noted the sequential revenue growth as a positive indicator of the management's effectiveness and anticipated continued improvement throughout the rest of the year.

Despite the growth, the analyst expressed caution due to the company's reliance on government consulting for revenue rather than its higher-margin Shield product. However, the report highlighted the addition of five new logos in the second quarter and an agreement with iOne Resources that is expected to contribute to Shield's annual recurring revenue (ARR) significantly. Shield's sales stood at $0.3 million for the quarter, with a typical quarterly run rate of around $0.4 million.

The company's gross margins, which range between 75% and 80%, combined with a disciplined cost approach, could lead to significant operating leverage and a quicker path to profitability if Shield sales increase as expected. Nonetheless, concerns about the company's balance sheet prompted the price target adjustment, reflecting current trading levels. The analyst concluded the commentary by reiterating a neutral position due to these ongoing financial challenges.

In other recent news, Intrusion Inc. has entered into a $10 million equity agreement with Streeterville Capital, allowing the company to sell up to $10 million of its common stock over a two-year term. This strategic move aims to provide flexible access to capital to support Intrusion's ongoing business operations and strategic initiatives.

The company has also appointed Dion Hinchcliffe to its Board of Directors, bringing a wealth of experience from his roles at The Futurum Group and Dartmouth College’s Tuck Center for Digital Strategies.

Intrusion Inc. reported a decrease in total revenue to $1.1 million for Q1 2024. However, the company secured a significant $25 million contract through partner iOne Resources for the 2025 Philippines midterm elections, which is expected to boost earnings in the latter half of 2024. Intrusion Inc. has regained compliance with NASDAQ's listing requirements and has raised $2.6 million for working capital through a private offering.

The company's cost reduction efforts have resulted in over $7 million in savings in the past year. Despite a net loss of $1.7 million for the first quarter, Intrusion Inc. plans to focus on growth in the Asia-Pacific region and the federal sector, with a multi-year roadmap for endpoint and cloud products. These are the recent developments for Intrusion Inc.

InvestingPro Insights

InvestingPro data provides a deeper perspective on Intrusion Inc. (NASDAQ:INTZ), highlighting a market capitalization of a modest $7.25 million, alongside a negative Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of -0.16, reflecting investor concerns about future profitability. The company's gross profit margin remains impressive at 78.46%, which aligns with the analyst's recognition of strong margins in the recent quarterly report. Despite this strong margin, revenue has declined by 22.42% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, which may raise questions about the company's ability to sustain growth.

Two InvestingPro Tips that might be particularly relevant for investors considering the analyst's neutral stance are the company's high shareholder yield and its impressive gross profit margins. These factors suggest that while the company is facing challenges, it has strengths that could be appealing to certain investors. For those looking for a more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, including insights on the company's cash burn and liquidity concerns, which are crucial for assessing its financial health.

Investors may also want to note that analysts do not anticipate Intrusion Inc. will be profitable this year, which could impact the stock's performance. The company's short-term obligations exceeding its liquid assets is a risk factor that cannot be overlooked. For a full suite of insights, InvestingPro offers a total of 14 tips for Intrusion Inc., available at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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