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Allegro MicroSystems target cut to $30 on lower guidance

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 10/31/2024, 04:40 PM
ALGM
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On Thursday, Allegro MicroSystems (NASDAQ:ALGM) experienced a revision in its stock price target by a Jefferies analyst. The new target is set at $30.00, decreased from the previous $32.00, while the Buy rating remains unchanged. The adjustment comes as the company's guidance fell short of expectations, largely due to inventory adjustments in the North American and European automotive sectors. This downturn has overshadowed the positive performance seen in China, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) market, which showed strength across all product lines.

The analyst pointed out that the market had anticipated a recovery throughout the fiscal year 2024, but this is now expected to be delayed until the fiscal year 2025. The shortfall in guidance, which came in at a 7% quarter-over-quarter decrease compared to the expected 9% increase, prompted the price target revision. The reasons for the lower guidance include further inventory corrections in the automotive sectors of North America and Europe.

Despite the setback in the anticipated recovery timeline, the analyst noted that China remains a strong market for Allegro MicroSystems. The surge in EV sales in the region has been a key driver, but it's also been noted that there has been robust demand across all product categories. This suggests that while certain segments are underperforming, others are compensating with stronger results.

The analyst's comments reflect a sense of continued optimism for Allegro MicroSystems, despite the need to adjust the recovery forecast. "We do still think there is a story here but that is now pushed to the right by a year," the analyst stated, indicating that while the company's positive narrative is still valid, it has experienced a temporal shift.

In summary, Allegro MicroSystems has seen a revision in its financial outlook, with the price target being lowered due to weaker than expected guidance and inventory issues in key markets. However, the company's presence in the Chinese market and the EV sector continues to be a source of strength, suggesting potential for future growth despite current challenges.

In other recent news, Allegro MicroSystems has witnessed a series of significant developments. Barclays and Mizuho Securities have revised their price targets for the company to $25 and $26 respectively, following Allegro's September revenue report and adjustments in Q4 and FY25 estimates. Despite a projected decline in the Industrial sector and a four-year low in the core Automotive business, Allegro MicroSystems found a positive aspect in the strength of China's electric vehicle market.

UBS has also issued a Buy rating for Allegro, setting a price target of $33, and expressing confidence in the company's potential for a cyclical recovery. The company's Q1 fiscal 2025 results reported strong sales of $167 million, with expectations of low double-digit growth in sales for the second quarter.

Allegro MicroSystems recently secured a $400 million term loan deal, restructuring its existing credit agreement. This move is expected to optimize the company's financial structure and support future growth. The funds will be used for various initiatives, including a stock repurchase agreement with Sanken Electric Co., Ltd., leading to the retirement of over 10 million shares.

Additionally, at Allegro MicroSystems' Annual Meeting of Shareholders, several key decisions were ratified, including the election of directors, the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP as the company's independent registered public accounting firm, and an advisory vote on executive compensation. These are among the recent developments that highlight the company's commitment to growth and operational efficiency.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Allegro MicroSystems' financial position and market performance. The company's market capitalization stands at $4.54 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the semiconductor industry. Despite the recent challenges highlighted in the article, ALGM maintains a profitable status with a P/E ratio of 52.92, indicating that investors are still willing to pay a premium for its earnings.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that ALGM is trading near its 52-week low, which aligns with the analyst's reduced price target and the company's revised guidance. This could present a potential opportunity for investors who believe in the company's long-term prospects, especially considering its strong position in the Chinese EV market mentioned in the article.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that ALGM operates with a moderate level of debt, which may provide financial flexibility as the company navigates through the inventory adjustments in North America and Europe. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting a solid financial foundation to weather the current market challenges.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for ALGM, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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