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Alexandria stock outlook softened with analyst eyeing 2025 FFO adjustments

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/28/2024, 11:09 AM
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On Monday, Jefferies made adjustments to its outlook on Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (NYSE:ARE), reducing the price target on the company's shares to $114 from the previous $120. The firm maintained its Hold rating on the stock.

The adjustment comes amidst observations of a disciplined funding environment, as noted by the management of Alexandria Real Estate. According to Jefferies, there has been a significant uptick in biotech funding, which has risen by 46% year-to-date through September. This increase is particularly notable in West Coast markets, showing signs of demand improvement, although the Boston market is experiencing a slower pace.

The improvement in biotech funding could potentially translate to better leasing opportunities in 2025. Jefferies anticipates that the upcoming Investor Day on December 4 could serve as a pivotal moment for the company. During this event, expectations are set for a recalibration of estimates for the 2025 core Funds From Operations (FFO) per share. Current projections by Jefferies are 2.6% lower than the consensus.

Despite the lowered price target, the Hold rating suggests that Jefferies maintains a neutral stance on the stock's near-term performance. Investors and stakeholders are likely to look forward to the Investor Day for further clarity on the company's financial outlook and strategic direction.

In other recent news, Alexandria Real Estate Equities reported a strong third-quarter performance in 2024, with increased funds from operations (FFO) per share and dividends, and nearly 100% occupancy. The company also saw a significant 48% increase in leasing activity, totaling 1.5 million rentable square feet. FFO per share rose to $2.37, marking a 4.9% increase from the previous year, while total revenues and net operating income (NOI) increased by 10.9% and 12.5%, respectively.

The company's robust liquidity was evidenced by $5.4 billion in reserves and a targeted net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.1x by year-end. Alexandria Real Estate Equities also projected an embedded NOI growth of $510 million, backed by a strategic self-funding capital recycling program. However, the firm anticipates pressure on fourth-quarter results due to a lease termination at 409 Illinois Street and a reduction in guidance for straight-line rents due to tenant write-offs and lease terminations.

The company remains optimistic about its future, with a same-property growth outlook of 1.5% to 4% on a cash basis for 2024, and projected rental rate growth for the same year between 11% to 19%. Despite the potential challenges, the company's focus on the life sciences sector and strategic asset management and development strategies point to a positive outlook.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Jefferies' analysis of Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (NYSE:ARE), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. As of the last twelve months ending Q3 2024, ARE's revenue grew by 10.21%, reaching $3.09 billion. This growth aligns with the company's position as a prominent player in the Health Care REITs industry, as noted by one of the InvestingPro Tips.

The company's financial health is further underscored by its dividend performance. ARE has maintained dividend payments for 28 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 13 consecutive years, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Currently, the stock offers a dividend yield of 4.6%, which may be attractive to income-focused investors in the current market environment.

However, investors should also consider the valuation metrics. ARE's P/E ratio stands at 69.54, which InvestingPro Tips characterize as "trading at a high earnings multiple." This high valuation could be a factor in Jefferies' decision to maintain a Hold rating despite the positive industry trends noted in the article.

For those seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for ARE, providing a deeper dive into the company's financial position and market outlook.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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