💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

UPDATE 10-Oil drops, biggest weekly slide since May

Published 06/17/2011, 04:28 PM
BARC
-

* Brent falls 5 pct this week, U.S. crude down 6 pct

* Sarkozy's stress on immediate deal helps prices recoup

* U.S. crude tests 200-day moving average

* Coming up: U.S. crude contract expiry on Tuesday (Recasts, updates prices, market activity; adds graphics)

By Antonita Devotta

NEW YORK, June 17 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Friday, with U.S. crude slumping to a four-month low under $93 as a dimmer economic outlook and the European debt crisis drove crude to its biggest weekly loss since early May.

U.S. futures fell more than $3 a barrel as momentum sellers piled into the slide. U.S. crude's discount to Brent widened by more than $1 to $19.90 a barrel.

Oil broke away from familiar correlations, diving in tandem with the dollar and despite gains for many commodities. Some oil analysts appeared more pessimistic about Greece than those in the foreign exchange market, where the dollar fell by nearly 1 percent on hopes for a debt deal.

U.S. crude futures for July settled at $93.01 a barrel, down $1.94, or 2.04 percent, its lowest since the Feb. 18. It traded from $91.84 to $95.40 Friday. U.S. crude fell below the 200-day moving average for the first time since September, drawing additional selling.

Brent crude for August settled at $113.21 a barrel, dropping 81 cents, or 0.71 percent, the lowest settlement since May 24, when front-month Brent closed at $112.53. Trading volume was about 20 percent below the 30-day average.

For the week, front-month Brent fell 4.7 percent, the biggest weekly loss since the week to May 6. Brent is up 19 percent this year, while U.S. futures are up less than 2 percent as the European market rose to a record premium.

"The predominant problem here is that traders own too much oil. They bought too much in anticipation of market tightness and now they have to adjust their positions," said Tim Evans of Citi Futures Perspective.

The current July contract for U.S. crude is set to expire on Tuesday, June 21.

Prices slumped early in the European day, and made new lows in mid-afternoon as a downturn in stocks following Research In Motion's disappointing results weighed.

"The stock market and euro have come off a bit and that has added pressure on oil and some sell stops have been triggered. People just continue to be nervous about the economy," said Phillip Streible, senior market strategist at Lind-Waldock.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Graphic on the Euro zone crisis:

http://r.reuters.com/hyb65p

Graphic on oil trading volumes:

http://link.reuters.com/rax22s

Graphic on weakening U.S. dollar and crude correlation.

http://r.reuters.com/dex22s

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

GREEK DRAMA

The euro gained on the day as the embattled Greek prime minister sacrificed his finance minister to force through an unpopular austerity plan, while Germany and France promised to go on funding Athens.[ID:nLDE75G0JV]

The euro pared those gains slightly in the afternoon when Moody's Investors Service said it may cut Italy's sovereign credit rating from AA2, citing challenges ahead for economic growth due to structural weaknesses and a likely rise in interest rates. [ID:nWNA1370]

Oil's slump broke its inverse correlation with the dollar, which has eased to its weakest since mid-April at just 22 percent, based on the average of the past 25 days.

"U.S. crude has broken below the recent range of $95-$105 and looks like it will shortly tack another $5 to the downside," said Gene McGillian, analyst at Tradition Energy.

"The fear of the fallout from the Greek debt crisis continues to impact the oil markets. Indications of a possible resolution of the crisis have helped pare some of oil's losses but investors worry about the stalling pace of U.S. economic recovery."

The International Monetary Fund cut its estimate for U.S. gross domestic product. This also weighed on U.S. crude prices. The IMF now projects an anemic 2.5 percent growth this year and 2.7 percent in 2012. [ID:nEBE7DA01M]

Brent was also under pressure from news that this week's relative strength for the European benchmark was drawing physical crude from far afield, with news that traders were offering Russian Pacific Rim ESPO in the Mediterranean. [ID:nLDE75G1CN]

Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commision that showed large hedge funds and other speculators raised their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions slightly in the week to June 14. [ID:nEMS2UF2TP] (Additional reporting by Gene Ramos and Robert Gibbons in New York, Zaida Espana in London and Alejandro Barbajosa in Singapore; editing by James Jukwey and David Gregorio)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.