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PRECIOUS-Silver, gold near lifetime highs, dollar loses ground

Published 04/29/2011, 02:34 AM
Updated 04/29/2011, 02:36 AM
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* Gold still eyes $1,549/oz -technicals [ID:nL3E7FT033]

* Coming Up: U.S. personal income mm March; 1230 GMT (Updates prices)

By Lewa Pardomuan

SINGAPORE, April 29 (Reuters) - Silver and gold were within sight of historic highs on Friday and could resume an uptrend as the U.S. dollar held near three-year lows against a basket of currencies on hopes U.S. monetary policy would stay ultra-loose, keeping inflationary price pressures high.

A fresh batch of U.S. economic data in the form of rising claims for jobless benefits failed to rescue the dollar, which had dropped to its weakest level since July 2008 against other currencies before recovering slightly.

Silver barely moved, standing at 48.35 an ounce by 0625 GMT, after having rallied to a record at $49.51 an ounce on Thursday. Gold eased 75 cents to $1,534.20 an ounce after hitting a lifetime high around $1,538 an ounce in the previous session.

"If the dollar continues to weaken, then it's only likely to boost gold as well as silver as the inverse relationship between the two assets persists. I would say that for gold I am still looking for it to hit $1,600 this year," said Ong Yi Ling, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.

"In the long term, I think, if we see silver prices at such a high level, then it could hurt the industrial demand."

But dealers said strong investment demand for silver would keep the metal at record levels, while a lack of scrap sales in the physical market suggested that investors expected more gains. Year to date, silver was up almost 60 percent, sharply above gold's 8 percent gain.

A bullish target at $1,549 per ounce is still intact for spot gold , based on its wave pattern and a Fibonacci projection analysis, according to Wan Tao, who is a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.

"There's some selling but I would say it's very light," said a dealer in Singapore, who trades gold and silver. "It had been a very busy week, and I am glad today is Friday. It's all quiet, finally."

The CME Group Inc , parent of the Chicago Board of Trade, said on Thursday it would raise maintenance margins for COMEX 5000 Silver <0#SI:> futures by 13.2 percent, making it more expensive for silver speculators to trade in. [ID:nL3E7FS62K]

Soaring prices hurt the bottom line of certain manufacturers, including photography company Eastman Kodak , which said on Thursday a hike in raw material costs, particularly silver, led to a decrease in its film business revenue. [ID:nN28229826]

Trading was subdued in Asia, with Japanese financial markets shut for a public holiday. UK markets will be closed for the royal wedding. Premiums for gold bars were steady in Hong Kong and Singapore.

The dollar index , which tracks the currency's performance against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.1 percent at 73.030, having plumbed a three-year low of 72.871 on Thursday. It is down around 1.4 percent so far this week, on track for its biggest weekly drop since a 2.5 percent fall in the week to Jan. 16.

Sentiment for the dollar took a hit this week after the Federal Reserve said it was in no hurry to tighten its ultra-loose monetary policy, a move that gave investors the green light to keep using the dollar as a funding currency to buy higher-yielding assets.

"It all depends on the U.S. dollar, but I would say we only see a small amount of selling in the physical market," said a dealer in Hong Kong.

In the energy market, crude fell on Friday, after settling at a 31-month high in the previous session, on concerns that slowing growth in top consumer United States may pare demand, but a weaker dollar and unrest in the Middle East helped stem a slide in prices.

Precious metals prices 0625 GMT Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg  Turnover Spot Gold        1534.20   -0.75   -0.05      8.08 Spot Silver        48.35   -0.06   -0.12     56.68 Spot Platinum    1841.74    6.64   +0.36      4.20 Spot Palladium    782.47   11.24   +1.46     -2.13 Euro/Dollar       1.4832 Dollar/Yen         81.51 (Reporting by Lewa Pardomuan; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

Reuters Terminal users can see related news and prices by double clicking on the codes in brackets: - All precious metals headlines - Precious metals market reports - Daily fixing headlines - Technical analysis - Indian gold reports - European gold prices <0#PREC> - London interbank gold forward rates <0#GOFO=> - London silver forwards - Gold lease rates <0#LGLR=> - London Bullion Market Association - New York Comex gold <0#GC:> and silver <0#SI:> - New York platinum <0#PL:> and palladium <0#PA:> - Asian gold prices <0#PREC> - Australian precious metals prices <0#AUPREC=> - Shanghai Gold Exchange prices - Hong Kong gold exchange prices - Hong Kong bullion prices - Indian bullion prices <0#PREC-IN> - Japanese producer prices For Related News and other topics, double click on one of these codes: SPEED GUIDES

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