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PRECIOUS-Gold edges above $1,500/oz as euro, oil recover

Published 06/28/2011, 07:23 AM
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* Hopes Greek crisis may be contained lift commodities

* Gold caught in range by uncertainty over euro/dollar

* Platinum, palladium languish near multi-week lows

(Updates prices)

By Jan Harvey

LONDON, June 28 (Reuters) - Gold rose back above $1,500 an ounce in Europe on Tuesday, recovering in line with oil prices as hopes that Greece's debt crisis may be contained tempered risk aversion, and after the euro regained some ground.

Prices remain rangebound, however, as traders seek clarity on the euro zone debt crisis and the subsequent direction of the euro. Gold is closely linked to foreign exchange moves, as it is often traded as a currency.

Spot gold was bid at $1,501.39 an ounce at 1108 GMT, against $1,496.20 late in New York on Monday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery rose $5.90 an ounce to $1,502.30.

The euro has suffered in recent weeks from worries Greece's debt crisis could destabilise the euro zone. If these concerns are allayed the euro could recover, benefiting gold despite the fact that it would lose some of its safe-haven bid.

"Even with the events going on in Europe, the euro-dollar has still been at $1.40-1.42 -- still quite an undervalued level for the dollar, despite what is going on in Europe," said Michael Lewis, head of commodities research at Deutsche Bank.

"If there is any slight marginal improvement in Europe, and if the European Central Bank is going to be starting to raise rates in September and December, you might have a currency story that could be quite positive for gold."

Greece's parliament is set to vote on Wednesday and Thursday on a new austerity programme required for Athens to receive more aid from the European Union and International Monetary Fund.

An agreement by heavily exposed French banks to roll over Greek debt and talk that European Union officials are working on a contingency plan if Greece's parliament rejects an austerity package lifted hopes its debt crisis may be contained.

OIL RECOVERS

Oil rose on Tuesday as the agreement by France to roll over holdings of mature Greek debt supported appetite for riskier assets like commodities.

Gold's correlation with oil has been patchy in recent years, turning negative in early 2009 as the credit crunch hit economic growth while lifting risk aversion, and in early 2010 when the euro zone debt crisis fuelled interest in gold as a haven.

Gold prices could see further short-term weakness, as physical buying remains soft during the seasonally weak summer months and as the U.S. Federal Reserve's $600 billion bond-buying programme comes to an end on June 30.

But in the longer term low interest rates, prospects for dollar weakness and better consumer appetite for gold at lower prices are likely to support the precious metal.

"This is typically a quiet time of year for physical buyers, and the buying we've seen on this dip have not so far been of the magnitude that would be required for a proper bounce," said UBS in a note. "Should prices fall far enough, however, the physical market will react, summer notwithstanding."

"Indian buying has picked up since late on Friday, but a move down to $1,485, where many orders are sitting, is likely required to bring this market out in force. Chinese physical interest has also been tweaked by recent price action."

Among other precious metals, silver was at $33.93 an ounce versus $33.54, platinum at $1,689.75 against $1,671.55, and palladium at $735.50 against $724.98.

The white metals have come under significant pressure from recent falls in industrial commodity, with platinum touching 3-1/2 month lows and palladium near six-week lows on Monday. (Editing by Alison Birrane)

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