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Oil steady after Moody's warning on U.S. rating

Published 07/13/2011, 11:22 PM
Updated 07/13/2011, 11:24 PM
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* U.S. crude halts gains after 2 percent rally this week

* Brent trades near $119/bbl, boosted by stimulus talk

* 3rd round of stimulus would raise oil's appeal for investors

By Alejandro Barbajosa

SINGAPORE, July 14 (Reuters) - Oil paused on Thursday after Moody's placed the credit rating of top consumer the United States under review for a downgrade, putting the brakes on a rally sparked by the possibility of a new round of economic stimulus.

U.S. crude for August added 2 cents to $98.07 a barrel by 0241 GMT, up almost 2 percent this week, while Brent advanced 12 cents to $118.90, about $8 below this year's peak near $127.

Moody's Investors Service jolted White House debt talks on Wednesday with a warning that the U.S. may lose its top credit rating in the coming weeks, piling pressure on Washington to lift its debt ceiling.

Earlier, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank was ready to ease monetary policy further in what would be a third round of so-called quantitative easing if economic growth and inflation slowed much more.

"People are still skeptical about Bernanke's comments," said Tony Nunan, a risk manager with Tokyo-based Mitsubishi Corp.

"With their hands tied by the budget, it seems to me they would have a hard time pushing through with another round of quantitative easing. If there is one, investors would come back and there would be more financial demand for oil futures."

The Fed's second round of quantitative easing, or looser monetary policy to stimulate job creation and economic growth, concluded at the end of June. A continuation of last week's disappointing U.S. employment data may raise the need for a third one.

"Bernanke is making a brave statement," Nunan said. "It's important for him to come out and say they want to keep the focus on job growth."

Higher employment boosts fuel consumption. Average U.S. gasoline demand in the last four weeks was down 0.9 percent from year-ago levels, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

Oil prices on Wednesday also rose after government figures showed U.S. crude inventories fell a bigger-than-expected 3.12 million barrels in the week to July 8.

Gasoline stocks fell by 840,000 barrels, the Energy Information Administration said, compared with projections for a 200,000-barrel rise, while distillates, including heating oil and diesel, rose 2.97 million barrels, more than seven times as much as expected.

Brent's premium to U.S. crude widened to $22.74 on Wednesday after closing at $20.32 a day earlier.

DEMAND GROWTH

World oil demand growth will accelerate next year, adding to the pressure on available supplies, the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday, contradicting a more conservative outlook from producer group OPEC.

In its first 2012 forecast in a monthly report, the IEA said oil use would grow by 1.47 million barrels per day (bpd) to 91 million bpd. The agency also trimmed its estimate of demand growth this year to 1.20 million bpd.

"As long as demand in developed nations doesn't tank or crash, the market can still have good support because of demand from emerging markets," Nunan said.

BP halted oil output from the Valhall field in the North Sea on Wednesday after a fire on its production platform forced the evacuation of hundreds of workers, but the company said there was no risk of oil spills.

In other markets, the dollar fell on Thursday, sending gold to a record high and offering some relief to the beleaguered euro, while Asian stocks softened.

Euro zone plans for a leaders' summit on a second Greek rescue were thrown into doubt by Germany on Wednesday, raising fears markets may exploit the policy vacuum with a new onslaught on the bloc's high debtors.

(Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

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