50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Oil prices settle lower, but notch 3% weekly gain on tighter supply optimism

Published 03/14/2024, 10:13 PM
Updated 03/15/2024, 10:05 AM
© Reuters.
LCO
-
CL
-

Investing.com-- Oil prices notched a weekly gain Friday despite settling lower amid pressure from a rising dollar as a hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data stoked fears of a more hawkish Federal Reserve at the central bank's meeting next week.  

At 14:30 ET (13:30 GMT), West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.3% to $81.04 a barrel, while Brent oil futures dropped 0.15% to $85.29 a barrel. 

Weekly gains likely on tighter supply outlook; oil rig counts continue to expand

Still, crude prices gained more than 3% this week, after earlier climbing to its highest levels since November last year, as signs of improving U.S. demand and tightening fuel markets spurred strong gains through the week.

A  bigger-than-expected draw in U.S. inventories pointed to improving demand in the world’s largest fuel consumer, while the White House confirmed it was buying over 3 million barrels of oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

In addition to the smaller U.S. inventories, debilitating Ukrainian attacks on a key Russian fuel refinery threatened to potentially disrupt fuel supplies in parts of Asia and Europe, presenting a tighter supply outlook for oil markets. 

On the demand front, the number of oil rigs operating in the U.S. rose by 6 to 510, the highest since Sept. 15, as refinery activity continues to recover. 

Strong dollar takes shine off wining week

Still, crude prices were pressured by a stronger dollar, which rose sharply on Thursday after producer prices followed consumer prices in coming in stronger than expected for February.

These reading, which came just days before a Fed meeting, ramped up fears that the central bank will keep interest rates higher for longer in 2024, boosting the greenback.

A strong dollar makes commodities, like crude, that are denominated in dollars more expensive for foreign buyers.  

Demand hopes buoyed by OPEC, IEA forecasts

Both the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and the International Energy Administration forecast strong oil demand in 2024 and 2025, in separate monthly reports released this week.

The IEA in particular hiked its demand outlook for 2024 and said that fuel supplies were likely to tighten further, as disruptions in the Middle East continued.

But the IEA also warned that slowing economic growth across the globe still presented a headwind to oil demand, especially when factoring in concerns over higher for longer interest rates in 2024. 

(Peter Nurse, Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.