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Oil falls below $42 to lowest since July on demand fears

Published 09/07/2020, 10:30 PM
Updated 09/08/2020, 07:20 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Oil pumps are seen in Karnes County
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By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil fell below $42 a barrel on Tuesday, its 5th session of decline, pressured by concerns that a recovery in demand could weaken as coronavirus infections flare up around the world.

Coronavirus cases rose in 22 of the 50 U.S. states, a Reuters analysis showed on the Labor Day holiday weekend. New infections are also increasing in India and Britain.

Brent crude (LCOc1) fell 61 cents, or 1.5%, to $41.40 a barrel at 0918 GMT, and earlier slipped to $41.21, the lowest since July 1. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude (CLc1) dropped $1.36, or over 3%, to $38.41.

On Monday, crude fell after Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco (SE:2222) cut the October official selling prices for its Arab light oil, a sign demand may be stuttering.

"The price weakness is continuing today," said Eugen Weinberg, analyst at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG). "We believe this is attributable first and foremost to demand concerns."

Both oil benchmarks have dropped out of the ranges they were trading in throughout August. Brent has fallen more than 8% since the end of August.

"The streak of losses is driven by a stalling crude demand outlook for the rest of the year," said Paola Rodriguez-Masiu, analyst at Rystad Energy.

Still, oil has recovered from historic lows hit in April, thanks to a record supply cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+. The producers are meeting on Sept. 17 to review the market.

Crude has also found support from a weaker U.S. dollar, although the U.S. currency was up on Tuesday. The market could rally beyond $45 later this year, said Norbert Ruecker, head of economics at Swiss bank Julius Baer.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Oil pumps are seen in Karnes County

"Fundamentally, things have not changed," he said. "Demand is recovering, supply remains constrained, and the storage overhang is slowly disappearing."

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