💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Oil Dragged Lower by Risk-Off Mood and Rising China Covid Cases

Published 07/11/2022, 03:23 PM
Updated 07/11/2022, 07:18 PM
© Bloomberg. An oil pump jack in Midland, Texas, US, on Thursday, April 7, 2022. Midland, Texas, is used to booms and busts. But even here, prices are shocking the local economy — and the Fed may not be able to help.
LCO
-

(Bloomberg) -- Oil declined as a renewed increase in China’s virus cases fed into weakness across global markets and the US awarded more crude from its reserves.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped to settle at $104.09 a barrel. Earlier in the session, prices dropped as much as 3.9% as Covid cases continued to climb in Shanghai, posing a challenge to the oil-consuming country’s Covid Zero strategy. On the supply side, concerns eased after a court order allowed the crucial CPC terminal on Russia’s Black Sea coast to stay operational. Meanwhile in the US, the Department of Energy awarded almost 39 million barrels of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to 14 companies. 

“Crude is back under pressure as supply concerns from the CPC pipeline are eased and sentiment remains sour,” said Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Management. 

Oil dipped below $100 last week, then rebounded as the market was whipsawed by competing supply and demand outlooks. US President Joe Biden is scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia in the coming days during a tour of the Middle East as he seeks to tame rising energy prices that are weighing on the global economy.

Speculators also turned more bearish on the main oil benchmarks last week. Money managers cut net-long positions in both Brent and WTI to the lowest level since 2020, according to data released Friday. 

“CFTC data released Friday showed positioning was the least bullish in more than two years, highlighting the lack of conviction in holding commodity longs into an economic uncertainty,” Babin said. 

Biden’s Quest for Saudi Oil Faces Reality-Check of Slim Capacity

There are some signs of relief for Biden. Gasoline prices -- a major contributor to inflation and a central issue in US elections -- have fallen for 27 days, including the single biggest daily drop in more than a decade. That’s the longest streak of declines since April 2020.

A court in the Krasnodar region on Monday canceled an instruction to suspend shipments from the CPC terminal on Russia’s Black Sea coast, which mainly exports Kazakh crude. It’s due to ship 1.2 million barrels a day this month. 

Shanghai recorded 69 new Covid infections Sunday, the most since late May. China will unveil a raft of economic data this week, with the numbers set to be scrutinized for evidence of Covid Zero’s impact on the world’s No. 2 economy.

Despite Chinese demand concerns, the oil market is still supported by tight supply, in part due to upended trade flows from Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. Time-spreads have firmed in a bullish backwardation structure, which indicates scarce volumes.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

© Bloomberg. An oil pump jack in Midland, Texas, US, on Thursday, April 7, 2022. Midland, Texas, is used to booms and busts. But even here, prices are shocking the local economy — and the Fed may not be able to help.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.