Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Oil cools after 3-day rally amid Fed uncertainty, U.S. inventory build

Published 02/08/2023, 08:52 PM
Updated 02/08/2023, 08:55 PM
© Reuters.
LCO
-
CL
-
DXY
-

By Ambar Warrick

Investing.com -- Oil prices were muted on Thursday as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials supported the dollar and brewed some concerns over more interest rate hikes, while U.S. crude inventories also logged a seventh straight week of builds.

Hawkish overnight comments from Federal Reserve officials saw markets reassessing their outlook for U.S. interest rate hikes this year, given that inflation is still trending well above the central bank’s target range.

This bolstered the dollar, which in turn weighed on crude markets. The prospect of higher U.S. interest rates also bodes poorly for oil, given that the ensuing slowdown in economic activity could further hamper demand.

Fears of a more hawkish Fed were back in play after stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data rattled crude markets last week.

Brent oil futures steadied at $85.19 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.1% to $78.58 a barrel by 20:50 ET (01:50 GMT). Both contracts were up as much as 6% over the past three days, and were trading near two-week highs.

Optimism over a demand recovery in China and supply disruptions caused by an earthquake in Turkey and Syria spurred strong gains in crude prices this week. The International Energy Agency had earlier this week reiterated its forecast for a strong recovery in Chinese demand this year.

While some pipeline flows from Iraq to Turkey resumed after being stopped earlier this week, exports from the major Ceyhan port are yet to be resumed amid bad weather conditions. The trend heralds a near-term supply shortage in flows to parts of Europe and Israel.

But this was in turn offset by fears of a supply glut in the U.S., the world’s largest oil consumer. Government data showed on Wednesday that U.S. oil inventories grew for a seventh consecutive week, with rises in gasoline and distillate stockpiles indicating that retail fuel demand remained weak.

Focus is now on a series of inflation readings from major economies in the coming days, starting with China on Friday. Markets will be closely watching to gauge whether price pressures improved in the country after it relaxed most anti-COVID measures earlier this year.

U.S. inflation data due next week is expected to inform monetary policy in the coming months.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.