Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Gold prices rise, close to record highs as rate cut bets mount

Published 07/16/2024, 01:10 AM
© Reuters.
GC
-

Investing.com-- Gold prices rose in Asian trade on Tuesday, coming within sight of new highs amid increased bets that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates from September. 

But gains in gold were limited by some resilience in the dollar, as increased speculation that Donald Trump will win a second term as president boosted the greenback.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $2,427.77 an ounce, while gold futures expiring in August rose 0.1% to $2,432.30 an ounce by 00:46 ET (04:46 GMT). 

Gold close to record high as rate cut bets grow 

Spot prices were now less than $30 away from a record high of about $2,450 hit in late-May. 

The yellow metal’s recent advance was fueled chiefly by increased bets that the Fed will begin cutting rates by September, following soft inflation readings and somewhat dovish signals from the central bank.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Monday said the bank had gained increased confidence that inflation was coming down. While he did not directly telegraph a rate cut, markets took his comments to mean that a cut was close.

Traders were seen entirely pricing out expectations that the Fed will keep rates steady in September, and were now pricing in a nearly 90% chance for a 25 basis point cut, according to CME Fedwatch

Other precious metals advanced on this notion, but were a mixed bag on Tuesday. Platinum futures fell 0.3%, while silver futures rose 0.2%. 

Dollar resilience limits gold gains, Trump in focus 

But a recovery in the dollar stalled gold’s advance, especially as the greenback rebounded from an over one-month low this week. 

The dollar was supported chiefly by increased speculation that Trump will secure a second term. This came as a failed assassination attempt on the former president appeared to have greatly boosted his popularity, putting him ahead of Joe Biden in the presidential race. 

Trump is expected to enact more protectionist trade policies, which could potentially increase inflation and support the dollar. 

Copper steady amid China jitters 

Among industrial metals, copper prices were flat as the outlook for the red metal was clouded by growing concerns over China.

Benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.1% to $9,795.50 a tonne, while one-month copper futures rose 0.2% to $4.521 a pound.

Weaker-than-expected GDP data from China cast doubts over an economic recovery in the country, which could bode poorly for its copper demand. 

Additionally, a Trump presidency could present more trade headwinds for China, further denting its economy. 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.