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Gold falls after Goldman Sachs cuts price outlook; Fed minutes eyed

Published 04/10/2013, 09:03 AM
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Investing.com - Gold futures were lower during U.S. morning hours on Wednesday, as investors sold the precious metal after influential Wall Street financial institute Goldman Sachs cut its gold price forecast for the second time in less than two months.

Market players were also awaiting the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's policy-setting meeting last month due later in the session.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for June delivery traded at USD1,578.85 a troy ounce during U.S. morning trade, down 0.5% on the day.

Comex gold prices held in a tight range between USD1,576.45 a troy ounce, the daily low and a session high of USD1,588.45 a troy ounce. Comex gold rose to USD1,590.05 a troy ounce on Tuesday, the strongest level since April 2.

Gold prices were likely to find support at USD1,539.85 a troy ounce, the low from April 4 and an 11-month low and resistance at USD1,604.25, the high from April 2.

In a report released earlier, Goldman Sachs slashed its three-month gold price forecast to USD1,530 per ounce from a previous estimate of USD1,615 per ounce. The bank also lowered its 12-month price forecast to USD1,390 from USD1,550.

The bank expected gold prices to average USD1,545 per ounce in 2013, down from a previous forecast of USD1,610 a troy ounce.

For 2014, Goldman projected average prices to fall to USD1,350 from an average of USD1,490 expected previously.

“Despite resurgence in euro-area risk aversion and disappointing U.S. economic data, gold prices are unchanged over the past month, highlighting how conviction in holding gold is quickly waning,” the bank said in a note.

Gold traders are now looking ahead to the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting later in the session for further hints on the future of its monetary policy.

Moves in the gold price this year have largely tracked shifting expectations as to whether the U.S. central bank could bring quantitative easing, one of the biggest boosts to gold’s bull run, to an end this year.

Elsewhere on the Comex, silver for May delivery fell 0.55% to trade at USD27.72 a troy ounce, while copper for May delivery shed 0.65% to trade at USD3.418 a pound.

Official trade data released earlier showed that China posted a USD884 million surprise trade deficit for March compared with February's USD15.25 billion surplus. Economists had expected a USD15.4 billion surplus.

The data showed that Chinese imports rose 14.1% from a year earlier in March, blowing past expectations for a 6% increase and following a decline of 15.2% in February.

Exports grew 10% from a year earlier in March, below expectations for an 11.7% gain and down from a 21.8% increase in the previous month.

China is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.

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