Factbox-History of trade estimates for USDA winter wheat seedings

Published 01/09/2025, 03:40 PM
Updated 01/09/2025, 03:46 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A line shows where winter wheat has been harvested in a field near Skedee, Oklahoma, U.S. June 13, 2024.  REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo

(Reuters) - Below is a history of Reuters polls of analysts' expectations for figures in the U.S. Department of Agriculture's annual U.S. winter wheat seedings report.

The USDA's report is based on a survey of roughly 72,200 farmers. Ahead of the report's release, Reuters surveys as many as 24 grain analysts for their expectations.

The tables below also include winter wheat figures from the USDA's March plantings and June acreage reports, and the government's final planted acreage numbers.

The USDA is scheduled to release its winter wheat seedings report at 12 p.m. EST (1700 GMT) on Friday, Jan. 10.

All figures are in millions of acres.

ALL WINTER WHEAT

Average

estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA

in Reuters seedings March June final

Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage

2025 33.366 NA NA NA NA

2024 35.786 34.425 34.135 33.805 33.390

2023 34.485 36.950 37.505 37.005 36.699

2022 34.255 34.397 34.236 34.006 33.281

2021 31.528 31.991 33.078 33.683 33.678

2020 30.664 30.804 30.775 30.550 30.450

2019 32.279 31.290 31.504 31.778 31.474

2018 31.307 32.608 32.708 32.732 32.542

2017 34.139 32.383 32.747 32.839 32.726

2016 39.320 36.609 36.216 36.538 36.149

2015 42.564 40.452 40.751 40.620 39.681

2014 43.501 41.892 42.007 42.296 42.409

2013 42.687 41.820 41.988 42.697 43.230

2012 40.933 41.947 41.709 41.819 40.897

2011 40.943 40.990 41.229 41.108 40.596

2010 40.501 37.097 37.698 37.723 36.576

2009 44.292 42.098 42.889 43.448 43.287

2008 48.586 46.610 46.840 46.605 46.781

2007 44.118 44.089 44.505 45.136 45.012

2006 42.386 41.367 41.404 41.393 40.565

2005 43.203 41.567 41.613 41.408 40.418

HARD RED WINTER WHEAT

Average

estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA

in Reuters seedings March June final

Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage

2025 23.733 NA NA NA NA

2024 25.113 24.000 24.300 24.100 23.787

2023 23.824 25.300 26.000 25.700 25.695

2022 24.034 23.800 23.700 23.500 23.098

2021 22.140 22.300 23.200 23.600 23.522

2020 22.086 21.800 21.700 21.500 21.394

2019 22.727* 22.200 22.400 22.700 22.751

2018 22.327 23.100 23.200 23.200 22.930

2017 24.954 23.300 23.800 23.800 23.426

2016 28.810 26.500 26.200 26.500 26.593

2015 31.023 29.500 29.600 29.600 29.173

2014 30.426 30.100 30.200 30.400 30.498

2013 30.185 29.100 28.900 29.400 29.670

2012 29.438 30.100 29.900 30.000 29.612

2011 30.153 29.600 29.400 29.100 28.469

2010 30.205 27.800 28.300 28.500 28.241

2009 31.124 30.200 30.900 31.400 31.666

2008 34.773 32.500 32.500 31.900 31.580

2007 32.017 31.900 31.900 32.400 32.981

2006 30.668 29.900 29.800 29.700 29.340

2005 31.059 30.500 30.500 30.300 30.047

SOFT RED WINTER WHEAT

Average

estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA

in Reuters seedings March June final

Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage

2025 6.141 NA NA NA NA

2024 7.077 6.860 6.260 6.140 6.062

2023 6.890 7.900 7.800 7.660 7.360

2022 6.555 7.070 6.890 6.860 6.565

2021 5.884 6.230 6.420 6.590 6.648

2020 5.118 5.640 5.690 5.630 5.565

2019 6.019* 5.660 5.550 5.540 5.213

2018 5.555 5.980 5.850 5.890 6.076

2017 5.662 5.680 5.530 5.610 5.763

2016 7.144 6.720 6.600 6.580 6.017

2015 8.039 7.500 7.750 7.610 7.094

2014 9.539 8.440 8.430 8.500 8.484

2013 9.039 9.420 9.670 9.960 10.044

2012 7.773 8.370 8.400 8.300 7.956

2011 7.244 7.760 8.200 8.300 8.496

2010 6.991 5.920 6.000 5.800 4.857

2009 9.392 8.290 8.380 8.400 8.162

2008 10.096 10.500 10.700 11.000 11.363

2007 7.982 8.330 8.660 8.800 8.639

2006 7.325 7.300 7.420 7.450 7.385

2005 7.531 6.600 6.600 6.500 6.134

WHITE WINTER WHEAT

Average

estimate USDA Jan. USDA USDA USDA

in Reuters seedings March June final

Jan. poll figure plantings acreage acreage*

2025 3.496 NA NA NA NA

2024 3.595 3.540 3.590 3.590 3.541

2023 3.631 3.730 3.710 3.680 3.644

2022 3.577 3.560 3.620 3.610 3.618

2021 3.514 3.480 3.480 3.500 3.508

2020 3.490 3.370 3.420 3.420 3.491

2019 3.486* 3.440 3.550 3.550 3.510

2018 3.435 3.560 3.640 3.620 3.536

2017 3.473 3.370 3.380 3.420 3.537

2016 3.366 3.430 3.370 3.420 3.539

2015 3.502 3.480 3.430 3.440 3.414

2014 3.533 3.390 3.350 3.410 3.427

2013 3.458 3.270 3.390 3.380 3.516

2012 3.661 3.490 3.500 3.500 3.329

2011 3.527 3.660 3.700 3.700 3.631

2010 3.406 3.330 3.400 3.400 3.478

2009 3.778 3.620 3.650 3.600 3.459

2008 3.852 3.650 3.630 3.700 3.838

2007 4.133 3.910 3.920 3.910 3.392

2006 4.389 4.200 4.220 4.210 3.840

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A line shows where winter wheat has been harvested in a field near Skedee, Oklahoma, U.S. June 13, 2024.  REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo

2005 4.547 4.500 4.500 4.500 4.237

* Final figures for white winter wheat acreage are derived by subtracting hard red winter and soft red winter wheat from USDA's final all-winter wheat acreage figures.

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