💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Crude oil futures rebound on weaker dollar, Goldman upgrade

Published 05/24/2011, 04:22 AM
MS
-
GC
-
LCO
-
CL
-
Investing.com – Crude oil futures were up on Tuesday, rebounding from the previous day’s sharp drop, as the U.S. dollar weakened, while influential Wall Street banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley raised their oil-price forecast.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for delivery in July traded at USD98.78 a barrel during European morning trade, jumping 1.3%.   

It earlier rose by as much as 1.4% to a daily high of USD98.92 a barrel.

The U.S. dollar came under pressure after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Monday that the Fed was likely to keep policy rates on hold after the second round of quantitative easing ends in late June.

The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, was down 0.15% to hit 76.16, retreating from a seven-week high.   

Dollar-denominated oil futures contracts tend to rise when the dollar falls, as this makes oil cheaper for buyers in other currencies.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month oil-price forecast as the loss of approximately 1.5 million barrels per day of Libyan production and firm demand from emerging economies, will lead to tighter inventories in the second half of the year.

The investment bank now expected oil prices to average USD130 a barrel, compared to a previous estimate of USD105 a barrel.

“It is only a matter of time until inventories and OPEC spare capacity will become effectively exhausted, requiring higher oil prices to restrain demand, keeping it in line with available supplies,” the Wall Street bank said in a report late Monday.

Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange, Brent oil futures for July delivery climbed 1.32% to trade at USD111.38 a barrel, up USD12.60 on its U.S. counterpart.

Global financial service provider Morgan Stanley raised its 2011 Brent crude forecast to USD120 a barrel, up 20% from a previous estimate.

"It is very likely that OPEC will respond to tightening inventories by lifting their production; in response, we see flat prices moving higher as spare capacity continues its fall to untenable levels," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a report.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.