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Forex - NZD/USD weekly outlook: October 18-22

Published 10/17/2010, 09:46 AM
NZD/USD
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Investing.com – Last week saw the New Zealand dollar surge to a 27-month high against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday, before erasing gains to close the week unchanged after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke remained cautious on the outlook for further monetary easing.

NZD/USD hit 0.7642 on Thursday, the pair’s highest since July 18, 2008; the pair subsequently consolidated at 0.7560 by close of trade on Friday, shedding 0.04% over the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 0.7426, the low of October 8, and resistance at 0.7659, the high of July 18, 2009.

The kiwi’s gains came amid speculation that the Federal Reserve would announce further monetary easing measures following their meeting in November.

But the kiwi erased gains on Friday after Bernanke said that while there was a case for further monetary easing, any action would be "contingent on incoming information about the economic outlook and financial conditions."
 
Next week, the U.S. is to release key weekly data on initial jobless claims, as well as important data on building permits, housing starts, manufacturing activity and foreign investment while the Federal Reserve is to publish its Beige Book.

Meanwhile, New Zealand is to release key data on its consumer price index.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect NZD/USD.

Monday, October 18

The U.S. will being the week by publishing official data on the difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by U.S. citizens and U.S. long-term securities purchased by foreigners. The country is also to release official data on the capacity utilization rate as well as data on industrial production, a leading indicator of economic health.

Meanwhile, New Zealand is to produce key data on its consumer price index, a leading indicator of consumer inflation.

Tuesday, October 19


The U.S. is to publish official data on building permits and housing starts, both leading indicators of health in the housing sector.

Meanwhile, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is due to testify on the central bank's annual report before Parliament's Finance and Expenditure Select Committee. His comments will be closely watched for any clues to the future direction of monetary policy.

Wednesday, October 20


In the U.S., the Federal Reserve is to release its Beige Book, a summary of the data the bank examines before setting the benchmark interest rate. The U.S. is also set to produce data on crude oil inventories.

Later in the day, New Zealand is to publish key data on visitor arrivals, as tourism accounts for approximately 10% of the country's economy.

Thursday, October 21

The U.S. is to release key weekly data on initial jobless claims, while the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia is due to release a report on the city’s manufacturing sector. The country is also due to publish an index of leading economic indicators, designed to predict the future direction of the economy.

Also Thursday, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis, James Bullard is to speak at a public engagement. His comments will be closely watched for any clues to the future direction of monetary policy.

Meanwhile, New Zealand is to produce data on credit card spending, a leading indicator of consumer confidence.

Friday, October 22

The President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Thomas Hoenig is to speak at a public engagement.

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