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TransAlta shares target increased, rating held on potential

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 12/16/2024, 10:10 AM
TAC
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On Monday, BMO Capital Markets updated its stance on shares of TransAlta Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:TAC), raising the stock's price target from $17.00 to $22.00. The firm maintained its Outperform rating on the shares, signaling confidence in the company's future performance. This comes as TransAlta's stock has shown remarkable momentum, delivering a 64.63% return year-to-date and trading near its 52-week high of $13.97.

According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly overvalued at current levels, though it maintains strong price momentum with a 94.38% return over the past six months. Additionally, TransAlta has been elevated to the top position on BMO's list of preferred energy infrastructure investments in Canada, moving up from the second spot.

The adjustment in TransAlta's status comes with a positive outlook on the company's potential to capitalize on Alberta data center co-located deals. BMO Capital anticipates that these opportunities could emerge as early as 2025, contributing to significant increases in EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) and FCF (free cash flow), which are expected to drive higher investment returns.

The analyst from BMO Capital specifically highlighted TransAlta's advantageous positioning within the Canadian Energy (OTC:CESDF) Infrastructure sector to benefit from these upcoming deals. The company's strategic moves are seen as a potential catalyst for outsized investment returns compared to its peers.

With a market capitalization of $4 billion and a track record of maintaining dividend payments for 37 consecutive years, TransAlta has demonstrated long-term stability. For deeper insights into TransAlta's financial health and growth potential, InvestingPro subscribers can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which includes detailed analysis of the company's competitive position and growth drivers.

Alongside TransAlta, BMO Capital has reshuffled its Top 5 Best Ideas roster, which now features TransAlta (TA), Northland Power Inc . (TSX:NPI), Boralex Inc. (TSX:BLX), AltaGas Ltd . (TSX:ALA), and Gibson Energy Inc . (TSX:GEI). This list represents the firm's top picks for investment in the sector, with TransAlta leading the pack due to its strong potential for growth and value generation.

TransAlta's new price target and top placement reflect BMO Capital's optimism about the company's future, particularly in relation to its ability to secure and benefit from data center deals in Alberta.

The firm's analysis suggests that these developments could significantly enhance TransAlta's financial metrics and market valuation in the coming years. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 36.82, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 41.28% and has demonstrated strong operational efficiency with an EBITDA of $846.7 million in the last twelve months.

In other recent news, TransAlta Corporation announced robust financial results with an Adjusted EBITDA of CAD 325 million and free cash flow of CAD 140 million. The company is advancing with its strategic acquisition of Heartland Generation, with optimism about receiving regulatory approval. Operational adjustments, including the mothballing of Sundance Unit 6 and exploring redevelopment opportunities for legacy sites, are also underway.

RBC Capital Markets recently released a note detailing their sector picks, which included TransAlta Corporation with a price target (PT) of CAD 16 and an "Outperform" rating. Other highlighted companies included PG&E Corp. and Williams Companies (NYSE:WMB), Inc.

In addition, TransAlta Corporation declared dividends, continuing its impressive 37-year streak of consecutive dividend payments. The company's commitment to shareholder returns reflects its financial stability and consistent performance.

Furthermore, Energy Transfer (NYSE:ET) LP, the general partner of Sunoco LP, reported strong performance with slightly exceeded earnings expectations. The company plans a $13-billion LNG-export facility in Louisiana, showcasing confidence in the incoming administration's regulatory environment.

These recent developments highlight the active strategies and financial health of TransAlta Corporation and Energy Transfer LP.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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