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Stifel sees upside for NVIDIA stock as supply chain signals stay strong

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/19/2024, 05:50 AM
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On Tuesday, an analyst from Stifel adjusted the price target for NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), increasing it to $180 from the previous $165, while reiterating a Buy rating for the stock.

The revision comes as NVIDIA prepares to report its third-quarter fiscal year 2025 results after the market closes on Wednesday, November 20.

The analyst's optimism is fueled by positive indicators from supply chain data and discussions with industry participants, suggesting the likelihood of NVIDIA outperforming expectations.

Despite high market anticipations, the analyst believes that NVIDIA will deliver another beat-and-raise scenario, noting that consensus estimates for FY2026 and FY2027 have already increased by about 4% in the past two weeks.

The report highlighted that while the market is expecting strong performance, a significant inflection point driven by NVIDIA's Blackwell architecture is more likely to occur in the April quarter rather than January. Initial discussions at the SC24 conference have confirmed that the expected timeline for Blackwell-based configurations remains unchanged.

In light of these observations, Stifel has raised its own estimates for NVIDIA's performance. The firm's decision to increase the price target reflects a broader trend of upward revisions in estimates for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027, supported by a diverse set of data points indicating a positive outlook for the company.

In other recent news, NVIDIA has been a focal point in the financial world following robust third-quarter results that surpassed expectations, largely driven by strong demand for its Hopper products. Analyst firm KeyBanc maintained its Overweight rating on NVIDIA, despite acknowledging potential near-term supply issues.

The firm adjusted its fourth-quarter estimates for NVIDIA but remained positive about the company's long-term prospects, with fiscal year 2026 revenue and EPS estimates standing at $218 billion and $5.04, respectively.

NVIDIA has also introduced a blueprint for real-time computer-aided engineering (CAE (NYSE:CAE)) digital twins, a move expected to significantly reduce development costs and energy usage.

Additionally, the company has launched the world's first combined artificial intelligence and 5G telecommunications network, known as an artificial intelligence radio access network (AI-RAN), in collaboration with SoftBank (TYO:9984) Corp.

Bank of America reiterated a positive outlook on NVIDIA's shares, despite concerns about the high power consumption of the company's next-generation Blackwell platform.

Meanwhile, Rosenblatt Securities maintains a Buy rating on NVIDIA, with a price target of $200, expecting a positive earnings report. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also reiterated an Overweight rating on NVIDIA, highlighting the potential of the Blackwell product line.

Analysts project NVIDIA's FQ3 and FQ4 sales to reach $33.2 billion and $37 billion, respectively. HSBC anticipates NVIDIA's third-quarter sales to surpass both management's guidance and consensus estimates, reaching $35.3 billion.

The firm's sales forecasts for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 and the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 are $38.0 billion and $42.7 billion, respectively. These are the recent developments surrounding NVIDIA.

InvestingPro Insights

NVIDIA's impressive financial performance aligns with the analyst's optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, NVIDIA boasts a staggering revenue growth of 194.69% over the last twelve months, with a robust gross profit margin of 75.98%. This exceptional growth is reflected in the company's market capitalization, which currently stands at $3.44 trillion.

InvestingPro Tips highlight NVIDIA's strong position in the semiconductor industry. The company has maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years, demonstrating financial stability. Additionally, NVIDIA's cash flows sufficiently cover interest payments, indicating a healthy financial structure.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of NVIDIA's potential, InvestingPro offers 21 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position. These insights can be particularly valuable as NVIDIA approaches its next earnings report on November 20, 2024, potentially validating the analyst's expectations of another beat-and-raise scenario.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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