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Stifel raises Semtech target to $58, maintains buy rating

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 11/22/2024, 03:20 PM
SMTC
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On Friday, Stifel, a financial services firm, increased its price target for NASDAQ:SMTC (NASDAQ:SMTX), Semtech Corp (NASDAQ:SMTC)., to $58 from $50, while keeping a Buy rating on the stock. The firm anticipates that the company's October quarter results will align with expectations, with potential for outperformance.

This outlook is based on several market sectors: infrastructure is expected to see sequential growth due to data center applications, providing what is seen as the strongest near-term tailwind. Additionally, high-end consumer revenue and industrial sales are both predicted to rise quarter over quarter.

The analyst from Stifel believes that Semtech could project January quarter revenues that meet or exceed consensus estimates and surpass their own forecasts. This projection is supported by recent statements from other industry players, such as NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), and positive feedback from Semtech's management at Stifel's Midwest 1x1 Conference held earlier in November.

The revised price target of $58 reflects the recent momentum in Semtech's stock price. The new target is based on a 5.2x calendar year 2025 estimated Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales) multiple. The firm's confidence in Semtech is bolstered by the company's effective execution of its turnaround story, which is expected to continue driving the stock's performance.

The financial services firm's outlook for Semtech is optimistic, with the expectation that the company will continue to perform well across its various end markets. This performance is anticipated to be particularly strong in the infrastructure sector, which is being driven by the expanding demand for data center applications.

In summary, Stifel's revised price target for Semtech represents a positive view of the company's future revenue growth and operational execution. The firm remains committed to its Buy rating, suggesting that it sees continued potential for Semtech's stock.

In other recent news, Semtech Corp. has garnered attention with robust Q2 sales of $215.4 million and non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.11, surpassing expectations. Looking ahead, the company's third-quarter projections include revenues of $233 million and earnings per share of $0.23. Analysts from Piper Sandler, B.Riley, Benchmark, and Stifel have maintained positive ratings on Semtech, with Piper Sandler reiterating an Overweight rating and a $60.00 price target.

In terms of business developments, Semtech's Advanced Communications Controller ( ACC (NS:ACC)) has initiated revenue generation, with expectations of continued growth through 2025. The company is also making progress in the Low Power Optical (LPO) market, with anticipated revenues in the second half of fiscal year 2026.

Semtech's LoRa technology has demonstrated a 37% sequential increase in revenues, and the company is preparing to start shipments for a market of 30 million units of its industry-leading Linear Pluggable Optics in the latter half of FY 2026.

InvestingPro Insights

Semtech's recent performance aligns with Stifel's optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, the company has shown a remarkable 222.76% price total return over the past year, with a significant 132.31% return year-to-date. This strong momentum is further evidenced by the stock trading at 95.7% of its 52-week high, supporting Stifel's increased price target.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 8 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which corroborates Stifel's expectation of potential outperformance in the October quarter results. Additionally, the tip indicating that Semtech is expected to be profitable this year aligns with the analyst's positive outlook on the company's turnaround story.

While Semtech's stock price movements are noted to be quite volatile, the company's liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations suggest a solid financial foundation to support its growth initiatives across various market sectors, as mentioned in the article.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Semtech, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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