On Tuesday, Stifel upheld its Buy rating and $1,100 price target for Monolithic Power Systems (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MPWR) stock, addressing recent market speculation about the company's role in NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)'s upcoming Blackwell AI platform. Stifel's engagement with Monolithic Power's management has led to several key insights regarding the company's current standing and future prospects.
Monolithic Power Systems has clarified that while it has not received orders for NVIDIA's Blackwell platform yet, this is not unexpected, and orders are anticipated soon.
The management also dismissed rumors of cancellations or ongoing technical issues with orders from its largest AI customer. These updates come as MPWR shares have seen a significant drop of about 30% since October 30, 2024.
The analyst believes that Monolithic Power is nearing the end of the prototyping and qualification phase for the B200/GB200 products, with orders likely to follow shortly.
Despite the expectation of multi-sourcing for these components, the current dip in the company's stock price is seen as an opportunity. Monolithic Power is recognized for its strong management, innovation, and diverse offerings in the semiconductor industry.
Stifel's reiteration of the Buy rating comes with a 12-month price target of $1,100, which is based on a 20.0x enterprise value to CY25E sales multiple. This valuation reflects confidence in Monolithic Power's market position and its potential for growth, especially considering that NVIDIA accounts for an estimated 12-15% of its revenues.
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