On Wednesday, Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA), a prominent identity management company with a market capitalization of $13.88 billion, saw its price target increased to $90.00, up from the previous target of $75.00, while its stock rating remained at Neutral.
DA Davidson cited the company's strong financial performance in the third fiscal quarter as the primary reason behind the price target adjustment. According to InvestingPro analysis, Okta appears undervalued based on its Fair Value assessment, with impressive gross profit margins of 75.8%.
The company reported a consistent year-over-year growth in Current Remaining Performance Obligations (CRPOs) of 13%, which surpassed the guidance projection of 9%. This performance was a steady continuation from the previous quarter, complementing the company's overall revenue growth of 18.7% over the last twelve months. However, the forecast for the fourth fiscal quarter CRPOs aligns with consensus expectations, indicating a 9% year-over-year growth.
Despite the positive growth in CRPOs, Okta's net new logo additions were notably weak, and the Dollar-Based Net Retention Rate (DBNRR) dropped to 108%. The analyst anticipates a further decline in DBNRR in the coming fourth fiscal quarter. Looking ahead, the preliminary growth outlook for fiscal year 2026 suggests a 7% year-over-year increase, which falls short of the consensus estimate of 10%.
The analyst's commentary highlighted that while Okta's guidance has remained conservative, the extent of future financial outperformance is expected to decrease. This is partly because management is adjusting their forecasts to no longer include additional caution related to the cybersecurity breach that occurred in October 2023.
The report concluded with an expectation of further deceleration in growth, potentially settling into the high-single-digit range. Despite the positive short-term results, DA Davidson maintains a neutral stance on Okta's shares, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's growth trajectory. The new price target of $90 reflects these considerations.
For deeper insights into Okta's financial health (currently rated as GOOD by InvestingPro) and access to 7 additional exclusive ProTips, investors can explore the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on the platform.
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