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Morgan Stanley retains equalweight rating on Commercial Metals shares

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 12/19/2024, 07:56 AM
CMC
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On Thursday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintained an Equalweight rating on shares of Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:NYSE:CMC) with a price target of $65.00. The firm highlighted Commercial Metals company's strategy to leverage increasing rebar demand driven by government-funded projects, expansion of its downstream-focused Engineered Bar Products (EBG), and the anticipated recovery in its European operations.

According to InvestingPro data, CMC maintains a GREAT financial health score of 3.16/5, with annual revenues of $7.93 billion.

The steel and metal product manufacturer aims to benefit from the current infrastructure investments and construction activities requiring rebar, a key material in building and construction. The company's EBG segment, which focuses on downstream products, is expected to contribute to its growth strategy.

With a remarkable 54-year track record of maintaining dividend payments, CMC demonstrates strong financial stability. For deeper insights into CMC's financial metrics and growth potential, consider exploring the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

While the outlook for Commercial Metals Company appears to be bolstered by these strategic initiatives, Morgan Stanley pointed out concerns about the company's valuation. The firm noted that the high valuation might be a limiting factor in the stock's potential for upward price movement.

Additionally, the introduction of new rebar supply into the market poses a risk to Commercial Metals Company's profit margins. Increased supply could lead to price competition, potentially impacting the company's margins negatively.

Morgan Stanley's Equalweight rating indicates a neutral stance on the stock, suggesting that the analysts believe the company's shares are fairly valued at the current price level. The $65.00 price target remains unchanged, indicating that the firm does not see significant price movement in the near term based on the available information.

In other recent news, Commercial Metals Company (CMC) has extended the maturity of its $600 million revolving credit facility from October 2027 to October 2029. This move is part of the company's ongoing financial management strategy and provides continued financial flexibility.

In terms of earnings, CMC reported a core EBITDA of $1 billion in fiscal 2024, down from $1.4 billion in fiscal 2023. Despite this, the company managed to generate $900 million in cash flow from operations and returned $261.8 million to shareholders, marking a 48% increase from the previous fiscal year.

BMO Capital maintains a Market Perform rating on CMC, projecting a softer earnings performance in the upcoming quarters. However, a recovery in earnings is anticipated for the second half of fiscal 2025, supported by seasonal trends and an anticipated increase in infrastructure spending.

In project developments, the Arizona 2 micro mill is expected to reach operational breakeven in Q1 2025, and the Steel West Virginia project is on track for commissioning in late 2025.

Despite a projected decline in consolidated financial results for Q1 2025 due to temporary softness in the construction industry, CMC anticipates improved market conditions in the second half of fiscal 2025. With a projected capital expenditure of $630-$680 million for fiscal 2025, CMC continues to invest in its future.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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