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MongoDB price target raised at Stifel, set to see double-digit recurring revenue growth

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 12/10/2024, 09:28 AM
MDB
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On Tuesday, Stifel, a financial services company, increased its price target for MongoDB (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MDB), a leading NoSQL database provider, from $360 to $425 while maintaining a Buy rating.

The firm recognized MongoDB as a key player in the NoSQL database market, which has seen its core database server downloaded more than 30 million times since its 2009 open-source launch.

"We believe the company is well positioned to drive healthy double-digit recurring revenue growth and margin expansion over the coming years, given its platform is leveraged to benefit from the positive secular trends associated with the explosion in unstructured data, businesses being increasingly technology-oriented, and growing demand/interest in the cloud," said Stifel analysts in their note to clients.

MongoDB's recent financial performance was noted as strong, with revenue surpassing consensus estimates by 6% and operating margins exceeding expectations by over 700 basis points. This success was partly due to better-than-expected consumption growth and a robust quarter for enterprise agreements (EAs), bolstered by approximately $15 million in multi-year upfront revenue recognition from customer expansions.

Management at MongoDB has announced plans to expand its Enterprise strategic account program, which has demonstrated a significantly higher return on investment compared to other direct sales accounts. This strategic pivot is expected to further enhance the company's growth trajectory.

Despite expectations of a quarter-over-quarter decline in EA/Other revenue and a seasonal slowdown in Atlas (NYSE:ATCO) consumption for the fourth quarter, Stifel regards the company's guidance as conservative. The guidance anticipates a roughly $12 million decrease in revenue quarter-over-quarter.

Stifel's outlook suggests that MongoDB's improved execution and strategic focus on high-growth potential enterprise customers, along with a robust set of core and emerging growth drivers and growth/margin accretive investments, position the company to maintain a revenue growth rate exceeding 20% and higher profitability and cash flow in the forthcoming years.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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