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Marvell target lifted to $130 on strong growth prospects

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 12/18/2024, 01:16 PM
MRVL
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On Wednesday, CFRA analyst Angelo Zino increased the price target for Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL), a leading semiconductor company, to $130.00, up from the previous target of $122.00. The analyst maintains a Strong Buy rating on the stock, citing optimistic growth prospects for the company. This aligns with the broader analyst sentiment, as InvestingPro data shows 28 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. The stock has demonstrated remarkable momentum, gaining over 86% year-to-date.

The upward revision of the target price is based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 35 times CFRA's calendar year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimate. The firm's positive outlook is supported by expectations of robust growth, leading to a higher valuation compared to industry peers.

Zino has also adjusted the EPS forecasts for the coming fiscal years, raising the fiscal year 2025 (ending January) EPS estimate to $1.63 from $1.56, fiscal year 2026 to $2.76 from $2.73, and fiscal year 2027 to $3.72 from $3.48.

These revisions reflect the anticipated scaling of the market for custom silicon chips, particularly as production by hyperscalers is expected to ramp up significantly from 2025 to 2027. According to InvestingPro analysis, while currently not profitable, Marvell is expected to return to profitability this year, with analysts forecasting EPS of $1.57 for fiscal year 2025.

The semiconductor industry is poised for growth, especially in the custom silicon chip segment, as outlined in a recent semiconductor predictions report for 2025. Marvell is expected to benefit from this trend, with ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) predicted to outpace GPUs (Graphics Processing Units) in growth over the next 12 months and beyond.

Marvell's total addressable market (TAM) is projected to expand at a compounded annual growth rate of 29% through calendar year 2028, reaching an estimated $75 billion, up from the estimated $21 billion in 2023. This growth trajectory is anticipated to provide a significant upside to the consensus views of the market.

Within the accelerated custom compute sector, which is part of the broader TAM and estimated to be worth $40 billion, Marvell is expected to maintain at least a 20% market share in ASICs. This could translate to approximately $8 billion in revenue from the custom compute segment alone, as per CFRA's analysis.

With a current market capitalization of nearly $97 billion and strong financial health metrics from InvestingPro, Marvell operates with a moderate level of debt and maintains a solid current ratio of 1.6, positioning it well for future growth opportunities. Discover more insights about Marvell's growth potential in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

In other recent news, semiconductor companies Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) and Marvell Technology have reported significant developments. Broadcom experienced a 220% annual increase in AI revenue, leading to a surge in demand for its custom AI chips.

This growth has impacted the broader sector positively. Analysts from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Raymond (NS:RYMD) James have acknowledged these robust results and adjusted their price targets for Broadcom accordingly.

Marvell Technology, on the other hand, has unveiled a new 1.6 Tbps optical chipset and a custom High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) compute architecture, both aimed at enhancing data transfers and AI performance respectively.

Marvell has also launched the Aquila coherent-lite digital signal processor, aimed at catering to the needs of distributed campus data centers. These innovations are expected to enhance data center infrastructure utilization and performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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