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Macquarie sees Flutter shares undervalued despite 23% CAGR since 2019

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/11/2024, 08:36 AM
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On Wednesday, Macquarie initiated coverage on Flutter Entertainment (NYSE:FLUT), a prominent player in the global leisure and gaming sector, with an Outperform rating and a price target of $340.00. The firm highlighted Flutter's exceptional growth potential and its significant market presence as key factors for the positive outlook.

With a market capitalization of $49.55 billion and impressive year-to-date returns of 53.47%, Flutter has demonstrated strong momentum. InvestingPro analysis shows the stock trading near its 52-week high of $284.79, with analyst targets ranging from $234 to $367.

According to the analyst, Flutter Entertainment stands out in the gaming and leisure industry for fulfilling the Rule of 40, a benchmark for software companies that balances revenue growth and profitability. This observation is supported by InvestingPro data showing robust revenue growth of 19.86% in the last twelve months. Despite meeting this criterion, the stock does not currently reflect such a valuation.

Flutter's existing and forthcoming assets are expected to drive revenue and EBITDA compounded annual growth rates (CAGRs) of 12% and 21% respectively over a six-year period from 2024 to 2030. InvestingPro subscribers have access to 14 additional key insights about Flutter's financial health and growth prospects.

The analysis suggests that Flutter's serviceable addressable market is projected to grow at a 10% CAGR, reaching $210 billion by 2030. The company's market share gains are supported by its strategic mergers and acquisitions, which are not yet fully accounted for in the forecast. This growth trajectory could potentially lead to a share price of around $600 within four years if the company executes its strategy effectively.

Flutter Entertainment is considered to have a strong competitive edge due to unique intellectual property, high customer switching costs, and brand loyalty, which contribute to substantial barriers to entry for competitors. The potential for further growth through strategic mergers and acquisitions, as well as partnerships, presents additional upside not included in the current forecast.

InvestingPro's comprehensive analysis, including detailed valuation metrics and growth indicators, is available through the Pro Research Report, offering investors deeper insights into Flutter's market position and future potential.

Since 2019, Flutter's shares have experienced a 23% CAGR, outperforming the S&P 500's 16% CAGR. This performance is attributed to Flutter's leading positions in key markets such as the United States, UK/Ireland, and Australia, as well as emerging markets like Italy and Brazil.

The company's success is linked to its effective M&A strategy, known as "Flutter Edge," which has reportedly added approximately $200 of incremental value per share for investors, with further growth anticipated from ongoing digitization and legalization trends in the industry.

In other recent news, Flutter Entertainment has reported significant financial growth and strategic developments.

The company's Q3 revenue saw a notable 27% year-over-year increase, reaching $3.25 billion, largely driven by a 51% surge in U.S. operations revenue. This robust performance led to an upward revision of its full-year 2024 guidance, now expecting a group revenue of $14.25-$14.55 billion and an adjusted EBITDA between $2.44-$2.62 billion. Additionally, Flutter's adjusted earnings per share surpassed the projected loss, coming in at $0.43.

Analysts from Goldman Sachs, Craig-Hallum, and Needham have maintained a Buy rating for Flutter. Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a price target of $320, while Craig-Hallum and Needham raised their targets to $350 and $300 respectively. These adjustments reflect Flutter's strong performance and future growth potential.

In a strategic move, Flutter Entertainment initiated a share repurchase program, involving the buyback of up to $350 million worth of its ordinary shares, as part of a larger $5 billion program managed by Goldman Sachs & Co LLC. The company also disclosed transactions in company securities by its managerial staff, in compliance with the United Kingdom (TADAWUL:4280) Financial Conduct Authority’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Finally, Flutter Entertainment provided an update on its total voting rights, a routine disclosure that publicly traded companies are required to make periodically to inform their shareholders and the public of any changes in the number of shares with voting rights.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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