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JPMorgan cuts SolarEdge stock target, keeps Overweight on Q3 earnings

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/07/2024, 09:20 AM
© Pavlo Gonchar / SOPA Images/Sipa via Reuters Connect
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On Thursday, JPMorgan made a significant adjustment to the stock price target of SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG), slashing it to $18.00 from the previous $29.00, while still maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock.

The firm's decision comes after SolarEdge reported third-quarter results that fell short of expectations, excluding a considerable write-off. The company's fourth-quarter guidance also disappointed market expectations due to weak demand and increased competition in Europe, despite signs of modest improvement in the United States.

The price target reduction by JPMorgan follows a previous lowering of estimates for SolarEdge after peer Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH)'s third-quarter earnings commentary highlighted weakness in the European market. Despite the analyst's already conservative estimates, SolarEdge's guidance fell well below these figures.

The company has expressed a commitment to clearing its channel inventory in Europe by the end of the first quarter of 2025, but the strategy now involves significantly less sell-in than initially planned.

In response to the challenging market conditions, SolarEdge is concentrating efforts on maximizing cash flow. This includes temporarily offering promotional pricing to clear inventory in Europe and focusing investments on its core solar and storage businesses. The company plans to streamline its operations by reducing stock-keeping units (SKUs) and exiting lower-margin markets.

Furthermore, SolarEdge is in the process of appointing a permanent CEO and anticipates making an announcement before the end of the year. Despite the lowered visibility and the recent changes to the price target and estimates, JPMorgan remains positive on SolarEdge's stock.

This optimism is based on the stock trading only slightly above the firm's estimated value, which includes 45 times the manufacturing credits and net cash, implying minimal value for the core business. The revised year-end 2025 price target now stands at $18, down from the earlier projection of $29.

In other recent news, SolarEdge Technologies has been grappling with significant financial challenges. The company's third-quarter financial report revealed a larger than expected loss of $15.33 per share, exceeding the projected loss of $1.65 per share. Revenue also declined by 64% year-over-year to $260.9 million, falling short of the estimated $272.8 million.

Looking ahead, SolarEdge's Q4 projections are not meeting expectations, with projected revenue between $180 million and $200 million, well beneath the consensus of $309.2 million. In response to these financial challenges, Interim CEO Ronen Faier is emphasizing the company's focus on financial stability and refocusing on core solar and storage opportunities.

Analysts from BofA Securities and Piper Sandler have expressed concerns over these results, with both firms downgrading SolarEdge's stock and reducing the price target. These are the recent developments in SolarEdge's financial standing.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent InvestingPro data paints a challenging picture for SolarEdge Technologies, aligning with JPMorgan's cautious outlook. The company's market capitalization has dwindled to $835.77 million, reflecting the significant headwinds it faces. SolarEdge's revenue growth has taken a severe hit, with a 70.52% decline in the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, mirroring the weak demand and increased competition mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that SolarEdge is "trading near its 52-week low" and has "taken a big hit over the last six months," with a staggering 75% price decline in that period. These tips corroborate the article's discussion of the company's struggles and JPMorgan's decision to slash the price target.

The company's financial health appears precarious, as another InvestingPro Tip notes that SolarEdge is "quickly burning through cash." This aligns with the article's mention of the company's focus on maximizing cash flow and streamlining operations.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 21 additional tips for SolarEdge Technologies, providing deeper insights into the company's current situation and potential future performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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