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JPMorgan cautious on Kimco stock, highlights valuation & muted growth outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/20/2024, 04:31 AM
KIM
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On Friday, JPMorgan issued a new rating for Kimco Realty Corp (NYSE: KIM) stock, revising it from Overweight to Neutral. The investment firm has also set a price target for the company's shares at $26.00, positioning it between the current analyst range of $20 to $30. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $23.01, with a notable P/E ratio of 43.15, suggesting relatively high valuations compared to peers.

The adjustment in rating by JPMorgan reflects a strategic shift in their outlook for the real estate investment trust (REIT) sector. According to JPMorgan, the decision to downgrade Kimco is primarily driven by the anticipation that visible external growth will become a more significant factor for stock performance in 2025.

This forward-looking perspective suggests that investors may increasingly favor REITs with substantial development and redevelopment projects or those with a steady stream of acquisitions. Despite market uncertainties, InvestingPro analysis highlights Kimco's strong dividend track record, maintaining payments for 33 consecutive years with a current yield of 4.35%.

Kimco, known for its ownership and operation of open-air shopping centers, has been reassessed in the context of these industry dynamics. JPMorgan's analysis indicates that other companies within the strip center segment and the broader REIT category may offer more pronounced external growth opportunities through their development pipelines or acquisition activities.

The price target of $26.00 implies JPMorgan's expectation for the stock's potential performance. This target is set considering the firm's revised assessment of Kimco's position within the market and its growth prospects relative to peers.

JPMorgan's commentary on the downgrade emphasizes the importance of development and acquisition strategies in driving stock performance for REITs. As the market looks towards 2025, such factors are expected to play a pivotal role in differentiating the potential of companies within this sector.

In other recent news, Kimco Realty Corporation (NYSE:KIM) saw its stock upgraded by Raymond (NS:RYMD) James, with a 12% increase in the target price reflecting optimism for the company's future performance. This was supported by strong Q3 2024 results, including a record-high occupancy rate of 96.4% and a 7.5% year-over-year increase in Funds from Operations (FFO) to $287.4 million. The company also raised its full-year FFO guidance to $1.64-$1.65 per share.

Furthermore, Citi increased Kimco's price target from $24 to $27, while maintaining a neutral stance, citing an uplift in the net asset value estimate due to higher net operating income and a reduction in the capitalization rate. Baird analyst Wesley Golladay also raised the stock price target for Kimco to $26.00, maintaining an Outperform rating, following the company's successful integration of RPT Realty (NYSE:RPT) assets and the acquisition of Waterford Lakes Town Center.

These are recent developments in the company's ongoing operations. Kimco Realty Corporation's strategic moves, including the successful integration of RPT assets and the acquisition of Waterford Lakes Town Center, are expected to contribute to future growth. The company's net debt to EBITDA ratio also improved to 5.3x, indicating a strong financial position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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