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Invitation Homes stock target cut, stays Neutral on new insights

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 12/17/2024, 08:29 AM
INVH
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On Tuesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) made adjustments to the financial outlook for shares of Invitation Homes (NYSE: INVH) shares, a $20.4 billion market cap company with a "GOOD" InvestingPro Financial Health score, resulting in a lowered price target.

The new target is set at $33.00, decreased from the previous $35.00, while the Neutral rating on the stock remains unchanged. The analyst's decision comes after gaining new insights from a recent discussion with the company's management, which provided more precise expectations for near-term financial metrics such as interest income, new lease rates, and occupancy levels.

The analyst noted that despite some investors finding Invitation Homes' valuation relatively appealing compared to its long-term history and against Apartment sector stocks, the stock might continue to experience limited movement or underperform its peers until there is more clarity on the earnings expectations for 2025.

Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 46.5x and offering a 3.5% dividend yield, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is slightly overvalued at current levels. Subscribers can access additional insights through the comprehensive Pro Research Report, including 6 more exclusive ProTips. The current revisions to earnings estimates for 2024 and 2025 reflect these considerations.

Looking at the broader picture, the Single-Family Rental (SFR) sector is anticipated to emerge as a potential winner in 2025, with factors like higher interest and mortgage rates, along with lower regulatory risks, playing a role.

With revenue growth of 7.7% in the last twelve months and a strong current ratio of 1.51, Invitation Homes maintains solid fundamentals. However, compared to its peer, American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE:AMH), Invitation Homes seems to be in a less advantageous position regarding core growth and earnings growth potential.

The report concluded with a reaffirmation of the Neutral stance on Invitation Homes, while an updated financial model was provided to reflect the changes in the price target and earnings estimates. The revised target and outlook are based on the latest available data and conversations with the company's management, aiming to provide investors with the most current assessment of Invitation Homes' financial prospects.

In other recent news, Invitation Homes Inc (NYSE:INVH). has shown a strong financial performance in Q3 2024, with an increase in core funds from operations (FFO) and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) to $0.47 and $0.38 per share respectively. The company's occupancy rates averaged 97% in Q3, with a slight decrease noted in October.

In addition, Invitation Homes is expanding its management services, now managing over 25,000 homes. The company anticipates a significant 65% drop in new Build-to-Rent deliveries in the coming year. Full-year 2024 guidance for core FFO and AFFO per share was raised to $1.88 and $1.59.

In another development, Invitation Homes has increased its regular quarterly cash dividend to $0.29 per share, marking a 3.6% rise from the previous quarter. This decision reflects the company's commitment to delivering shareholder value and continues its track record of raising dividends for seven consecutive years.

Stockholders of record as of the close of business in December 2024 will be eligible for the dividend, which is scheduled for payment in January 2025. Invitation Homes' recent developments signify its financial health and optimistic outlook as it continues to navigate the housing market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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