Guidewire shares target increased on cloud demand outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/19/2024, 08:04 AM
GWRE
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On Tuesday, Baird maintained an Outperform rating on Guidewire (NYSE:GWRE) shares and increased the price target to $220 from $204. The firm's analyst highlighted the improving demand for cloud services as a significant factor for the optimistic outlook.

The feedback from Strategic Implementation (SI) partners indicates a stronger demand in the cloud sector, especially for the fiscal years 2023 and 2024. This trend is seen as an opportunity for Guidewire, particularly with migrations, as approximately half of its core customers are still operating on-premises systems.

The analyst also pointed out that there are unexplored opportunities in under-represented geographies and business lines. The expectation of an increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is supported by high levels of new cloud sales and the potential layering of ramp contracts. These expectations are further bolstered by the details that emerged from Guidewire's investor day.

Guidewire's incentive framework, which is used as a proxy, aligns with the positive outlook. It sets thresholds for the fiscal year 2026 that could surpass the current consensus. This framework is seen as an indicator of the company's performance and potential growth in the coming years.

In light of this information, Baird has raised its mid-term estimates for Guidewire, reflecting a more bullish stance on the company's financial prospects. The new price target of $220 suggests a confidence in Guidewire's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for cloud services and its strategic positioning in the market.

In other recent news, Guidewire Software Inc (NYSE:GWRE). plans to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2029. The company also anticipates giving an option to purchase an additional $75 million in notes within 13 days of issuance. Several analyst firms have recently adjusted their outlooks on Guidewire.

BofA Securities revised its price target to $135, maintaining an Underperform rating, while Oppenheimer increased its stock price target for Guidewire to $200, citing the company's financial targets for fiscal year 2028.

RBC Capital maintained its Outperform rating on Guidewire and raised its price target to $215, citing the company's ambitious long-term profitability targets and maturing cloud product offerings.

Guidewire's fiscal 2025 guidance projects an impressive $1 billion in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), with total revenue expected to be between $1.135 billion and $1.149 billion. This promising trajectory is largely attributed to Guidewire's successful transition to a cloud-based platform.

In other recent developments, Guidewire expanded its board of directors with the appointment of Mark Anquillare, former President and COO of Verisk Analytics (NASDAQ:VRSK). However, the company was implicated in a hacking incident involving a British individual, Robert Westbrook, who was arrested on charges of hacking into several companies, including Guidewire, for insider trading information.

InvestingPro Insights

Guidewire's strong market position and growth potential, as highlighted in the Baird analysis, are further supported by recent data and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $16.21 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the software industry.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Guidewire's stock has shown a high return over the last year, with a remarkable 100.39% price total return. This aligns with the analyst's optimistic outlook and the company's improving demand for cloud services. Moreover, the stock is trading near its 52-week high, with the current price at 97.35% of its peak, suggesting strong investor confidence.

While Guidewire operates with a moderate level of debt, it's worth noting that the company was not profitable over the last twelve months. However, InvestingPro Tips reveal that net income is expected to grow this year, and analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, supporting Baird's positive stance on Guidewire's financial prospects.

The company's revenue for the last twelve months reached $980.5 million, with a revenue growth of 8.3%. This growth trajectory supports the analyst's expectations of increased Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) driven by new cloud sales and potential ramp contracts.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for Guidewire, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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