FirstEnergy stock rating cut to Peerperform at Wolfe Research

Published 01/23/2025, 05:50 AM
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The analyst noted that while the transition away from low-quality earnings is generally a positive move, it is concerning if FirstEnergy cannot identify adequate compensatory measures. This issue is particularly pronounced as most of the sector seems set to experience an upward trend in earnings outlooks, positioning FirstEnergy on a divergent path. Despite these challenges, FirstEnergy maintains a "Fair" overall financial health score according to InvestingPro analysis, with notably low price volatility and a beta of 0.51, characteristics that may appeal to defensive investors. Despite these challenges, FirstEnergy maintains a "Fair" overall financial health score according to InvestingPro analysis, with notably low price volatility and a beta of 0.51, characteristics that may appeal to defensive investors.

The downgrade was prompted by several factors affecting FirstEnergy's earnings. A year ago, the company had aimed to shift away from relying on earnings from its Signal Peak coal operations and pension-related income. These sources constituted 27% of the company's earnings per share (EPS) in 2022, with a projection to drop below 10% in 2024 and under 5% thereafter.

FirstEnergy had been expected to maintain an EPS growth rate of 6-8% as the rest of the company's rate base grew at 9%, without the need for additional equity. However, Wolfe Research now observes that FirstEnergy is considering the sale of Signal Peak while concurrently facing earnings pressure. Additionally, the company's pension earnings are under stress due to rising interest rates.

The analyst noted that while the transition away from low-quality earnings is generally a positive move, it is concerning if FirstEnergy cannot identify adequate compensatory measures. This issue is particularly pronounced as most of the sector seems set to experience an upward trend in earnings outlooks, positioning FirstEnergy on a divergent path. Despite these challenges, FirstEnergy maintains a "Fair" overall financial health score according to InvestingPro analysis, with notably low price volatility and a beta of 0.51, characteristics that may appeal to defensive investors.

The analyst noted that while the transition away from low-quality earnings is generally a positive move, it is concerning if FirstEnergy cannot identify adequate compensatory measures. This issue is particularly pronounced as most of the sector seems set to experience an upward trend in earnings outlooks, positioning FirstEnergy on a divergent path.

In other recent news, FirstEnergy Corp (NYSE:FE) has been the subject of several significant developments. The company has been approved for a $1.42 billion grid upgrade in Pennsylvania, a move expected to enhance the power grid's resilience and incorporate more automated technology. FirstEnergy has also reported a 4.3% revenue growth over the last twelve months and a consistent 4.34% dividend yield.

In terms of leadership changes, Brian X. Tierney, the company's President and CEO, will assume the role of Chair of the Board from January 1, 2025. This decision reflects the company's commitment to its long-term growth and operational excellence.

In terms of financial performance, FirstEnergy experienced a minor decrease in GAAP earnings per share in its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call compared to the same quarter in 2023. Nevertheless, the company's capital investment plan for 2024 has been increased by 24%, with a focus on enhancing grid reliability and customer experience.

Analysts have provided varied insights on FirstEnergy's stock. Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) upgraded the company's stock to Sector Outperform, while Seaport Global Securities downgraded it from Buy to Neutral due to regulatory risks in Ohio. KeyBanc, on the other hand, has maintained its focus on FirstEnergy as a value pick in the utility sector, despite slightly lowering the price target.

These are recent developments that reflect FirstEnergy's commitment to its long-term growth and operational excellence.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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