FICO stock plateau? JPMorgan cautious as price hikes fuel growth slowdown

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/20/2024, 04:04 AM
FICO
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On Friday, JPMorgan initiated coverage on Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:FICO) stock, assigning a Neutral rating to the stock with a price target set at $2,150. The target suggests a modest 5% upside potential from its current market position.

According to InvestingPro data, FICO appears overvalued compared to its Fair Value, despite delivering an impressive 77% return over the past year. Known for its widely used FICO Score, the company has been recognized as a benchmark for consumer credit risk assessment in the United States.

Fair Isaac's Scores business, which is projected to account for 54% of its fiscal year 2024 revenues, has seen significant price increases, contributing to the acceleration of the company's revenue growth. This strategy has helped achieve a robust 13.5% revenue growth and impressive 79.7% gross profit margins in the last twelve months. The analyst noted that the FICO Score's strong market presence has been a key driver behind these pricing strategies.

In addition to its Scores business, Fair Isaac's Software (ETR:SOWGn) segment, expected to make up 46% of its fiscal year 2024 revenues, has shown promising development. The early success of the FICO Platform, a cloud-native solution for credit decisioning and advanced business analytics, has been integral in modernizing the company's offerings.

The analyst highlighted that the combined strength of Fair Isaac's Scores and Software businesses has led to a meaningful acceleration in organic revenue growth. Furthermore, the company's return on invested capital (ROIC) and earnings per share (EPS) growth are considered to be among the best within the Information Services (NASDAQ:III) sector.

Overall, the commencement of coverage by JPMorgan reflects their recognition of Fair Isaac's market position and the recent advancements that have propelled the company's financial performance. The Neutral rating indicates a view that the stock is appropriately valued at the time of the analysis. InvestingPro subscribers can access 14 additional investment tips and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, offering deeper insights into FICO's valuation metrics and growth potential.

In other recent news, Fair Isaac Corporation, also known as FICO, has reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024. The earnings call, led by key management figures, provided a detailed comparison of the results with those of the preceding year and quarter, offering insights into the company's performance trajectory.

Oppenheimer recently updated its outlook on FICO shares, increasing the price target to $2,515 from the previous $2,324, maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. This adjustment reflects a higher earnings multiple, stemming from increased confidence in FICO's long-term pricing power.

These recent developments underscore FICO's cautious yet proactive approach to navigating the global analytics software market. The company maintains impressive gross profit margins of nearly 80% and has achieved revenue growth of 13.5% over the last twelve months. These are the recent developments for Fair Isaac Corporation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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