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Fair Isaac stock target boosted, maintains buy on strong FY24 finish

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/07/2024, 08:13 AM
FICO
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On Thursday, Fair Isaac Corporation (NYSE:FICO), widely known for its credit scoring services, saw its stock price target significantly increased by Needham, a financial advisory firm. The new target is set at $2,500, raised from the previous $1,850, while the firm maintained its Buy rating on the stock.

The upgrade comes on the heels of Fair Isaac's robust fiscal year 2024 performance, in which the company surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both revenue and earnings. This success was attributed to the continued strength in its Scores business and notable margin leverage. Fair Isaac also provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2025, forecasting approximately 20% growth in earnings per share (EPS).

In addition to the strong financial performance, Fair Isaac announced the pricing of mortgage scores for the upcoming year at $4.95, which represents an estimated 41% year-over-year increase. Needham views this price adjustment as justifiable considering the significant value the FICO Score brings to the consumer credit market, particularly when compared to other mortgage-related expenses.

Encouraged by Fair Isaac's recent achievements and positive future guidance, Needham has revised its earnings estimates upward. The firm anticipates that Fair Isaac will sustain an approximate 20% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in EPS moving forward. This optimistic projection underpins the rationale for reiterating the Buy rating and the elevated price target.

In other recent news, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has been the subject of several analyst upgrades and robust earnings reports.

Financial services firms Baird, Oppenheimer, and Jefferies have all raised their price targets for FICO, with Baird adjusting its target to $2,000, Oppenheimer to $2,109, and Jefferies to $2,250. These revisions follow FICO's announcement of a significant increase in mortgage pricing for calendar year 2025, and its strong Q3 2024 earnings report with a 12% increase in revenues.

FICO has also formed a strategic partnership with Tata Consultancy Services (NS:TCS) to enhance decision management technology across various industries, starting with truck roll optimization. This collaboration has already resulted in significant cost savings, improved response times, and reduced carbon emissions in the logistics sector. Additional developments for the telecommunications and media sectors are in the pipeline.

Regarding future expectations, FICO is projecting a GAAP net income of $500 million, with earnings per share of $19.90, and a non-GAAP net income forecasted at $582 million, with earnings per share of $23.16. These projections reflect a positive outlook for FICO, backed by robust financial performance and analyst confidence.

InvestingPro Insights

Fair Isaac Corporation's (NYSE:FICO) recent performance and Needham's bullish outlook are further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $51.26 billion, reflecting its strong position in the credit scoring industry. FICO's revenue growth of 13.48% over the last twelve months and a quarterly growth of 16.44% in Q4 2024 align with the company's robust fiscal year 2024 performance mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips highlight FICO's impressive gross profit margins, which is corroborated by the data showing a gross profit margin of 79.73% for the last twelve months. This high margin likely contributes to the company's ability to leverage its Scores business effectively, as noted in the article.

The stock's strong performance is evident in its price returns, with a remarkable 122.79% return over the past year and a 68.51% return over the last six months. This aligns with Needham's increased price target and optimistic outlook for the company.

It's worth noting that FICO is trading at a high P/E ratio of 107.89, which could be justified by its strong growth prospects and market position. However, potential investors should be aware that the stock is trading near its 52-week high, with the current price at 99.38% of its peak.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 17 additional tips for FICO, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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