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Elastic stock underpinned by strong Q2 results and Citi's bullish outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/25/2024, 05:22 AM
ESTC
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On Monday, Citi maintained a Buy rating on Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC) stock and increased the price target to $150 from the previous $136. This adjustment follows Elastic's robust performance in the second quarter, which marked a significant improvement from the first quarter's go-to-market (GTM) challenges.

Elastic's second quarter results displayed a strong comeback, characterized by an approximate 20% year-over-year growth in bookings and billings. This growth was further bolstered by the increasing contribution of GenAI technology, which is in line with positive feedback from partners. Despite the unanticipated change in the Chief Financial Officer position, the interim CFO, Eric Prengal, is perceived to have adapted effectively to his new role.

Citi's analysts have expressed a more optimistic outlook after the recent developments, including the conservative nature of the company's guidance and the growing impact of GenAI on Elastic's core search business. The firm's confidence in the company's recovery and future prospects is reflected in the maintained Buy/High Risk rating.

The financial institution has revised its revenue and EPS estimates for fiscal year 2025, increasing them by approximately 1% and 13%, respectively. The new price target of $150 implies a forward EV/Sales multiple of around 10.5 times for fiscal year 2026, signaling an expectation for continued stock performance as Elastic resolves execution issues and maintains prudent guidance.

In other recent news, Elastic NV has seen several significant developments. The company reported an 18% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, reaching $365 million. This growth was primarily driven by the generative AI segment and a 25% year-over-year increase in cloud revenue. The fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance has been raised to between $1,451 million and $1,457 million.

Additionally, Wedbush, Piper Sandler, RBC Capital Markets, Rosenblatt Securities, and DA Davidson have all revised their price targets for Elastic NV, reflecting confidence in the company's performance and growth prospects. Wedbush upgraded its stock rating from Neutral to Outperform, citing Elastic's strategic positioning to benefit from the increasing demand for AI.

In the executive team, CFO Janesh Moorjani is set to depart, with Group VP of Finance, Eric Prengel, stepping in as interim CFO. This transition is part of the company's ongoing business strategy execution. These are the recent developments in Elastic NV's journey.

InvestingPro Insights

Elastic NV's recent performance and Citi's bullish outlook are further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $11.2 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the tech sector. Elastic's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025 reached $1.38 billion, with a robust revenue growth of 18.71% over the same period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Elastic holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating a strong financial position. This aligns with Citi's confidence in the company's recovery and future prospects. Additionally, 21 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, supporting the optimistic outlook presented in the article.

It's worth noting that Elastic's P/E ratio is currently at 166.53, suggesting a high valuation relative to earnings. This could be attributed to the market's expectations for future growth, particularly given the company's involvement in GenAI technology.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Elastic NV, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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